Newcastle 2–2 Liverpool

2026-08-23 16:30, St. James' Park. Half time 1–0. Anthony Elanga 4', Joe Willock 56'; Cody Gakpo 54', Dominik Szoboszlai 98'

2026-08-23 16:30
Newcastle
2–2
Liverpool
1.4
expected goals
-1.8 to Newcastle
3.2

Liverpool created more, 3.2 to 1.4 expected goals, and drew.

13Shots27
1.24Expected goals from open play1.10
0.12From set pieces1.28
0.00From penalties0.82
1.36Excluding penalties2.38
1.13As the rating counts them2.33
0.4Points the chances deserved2.5

Rating brought into the match, expected goals a match as the rating counts them: Newcastle creates 1.31 and allows 1.25; Liverpool creates 1.59 and allows 1.15.

The result the chances deserved

From the two sides' shots taken together: Newcastle win 8 per cent, draw 13, Liverpool win 78. Newcastle deserved 0.4 points and took 1; Liverpool deserved 2.5 and took 1.

Each shot scores with its own probability, independently; two shots in one passage of play both count although only one could have scored, so a match with rebounds is slightly overstated.

Where the chances were

Newcastle attack this way →← Liverpool attack this wayFlorian Wirtz 1': 0.10 expected goalsAnthony Elanga 4': 0.27 expected goals, GOALVirgil van Dijk 8': 0.17 expected goalsCody Gakpo 8': 0.04 expected goalsYoane Wissa 11': 0.05 expected goalsFlorian Wirtz 17': 0.20 expected goalsMilos Kerkez 17': 0.01 expected goalsAmar Dedic 21': 0.05 expected goalsDominik Szoboszlai 25': 0.03 expected goalsCody Gakpo 26': 0.03 expected goalsMilos Kerkez 28': 0.02 expected goalsWilliam Osula 30': 0.05 expected goalsWilliam Osula 31': 0.02 expected goalsRyan Gravenberch 40': 0.09 expected goalsYoane Wissa 43': 0.02 expected goalsAlexander Isak 46': 0.28 expected goalsAlexander Isak 46': 0.54 expected goalsFlorian Wirtz 46': 0.09 expected goalsLewis Miley 47': 0.03 expected goalsCody Gakpo 52': 0.05 expected goalsCody Gakpo 54': 0.02 expected goals, GOALRio Ngumoha 56': 0.04 expected goalsCody Gakpo 56': 0.10 expected goalsRyan Gravenberch 56': 0.03 expected goalsJoe Willock 56': 0.09 expected goals, GOALCody Gakpo 59': 0.02 expected goalsVirgil van Dijk 65': 0.07 expected goalsYoane Wissa 66': 0.44 expected goalsAnthony Elanga 67': 0.02 expected goalsAlexander Isak 68': 0.11 expected goalsJacob Ramsey 69': 0.05 expected goalsVíctor Muñoz 77': 0.06 expected goalsDominik Szoboszlai 79': 0.04 expected goalsAlexander Isak 84': 0.09 expected goalsYoane Wissa 85': 0.25 expected goalsVíctor Muñoz 85': 0.08 expected goalsHarvey Barnes 89': 0.04 expected goalsLewis Koumas 90': 0.06 expected goalsJeremie Frimpong 91': 0.01 expected goalsDominik Szoboszlai 98': 0.82 expected goals, GOAL

One mark per shot, larger for a better chance; filled marks are goals. Hover a mark for the player and the chance.

How the match built up

0.001.002.003.0001224364860728496MinuteNewcastle: 0Newcastle, 4': Anthony Elanga, 0.27 expected goals, GOALNewcastle, 11': Yoane Wissa, 0.05 expected goalsNewcastle, 21': Amar Dedic, 0.05 expected goalsNewcastle, 30': William Osula, 0.05 expected goalsNewcastle, 31': William Osula, 0.02 expected goalsNewcastle, 43': Yoane Wissa, 0.02 expected goalsNewcastle, 47': Lewis Miley, 0.03 expected goalsNewcastle, 56': Joe Willock, 0.09 expected goals, GOALNewcastle, 66': Yoane Wissa, 0.44 expected goalsNewcastle, 67': Anthony Elanga, 0.02 expected goalsNewcastle, 69': Jacob Ramsey, 0.05 expected goalsNewcastle, 85': Yoane Wissa, 0.25 expected goalsNewcastle, 89': Harvey Barnes, 0.04 expected goalsNewcastle: 1.36Liverpool: 0Liverpool, 1': Florian Wirtz, 0.10 expected goalsLiverpool, 8': Virgil van Dijk, 0.17 expected goalsLiverpool, 8': Cody Gakpo, 0.04 expected goalsLiverpool, 17': Florian Wirtz, 0.20 expected goalsLiverpool, 17': Milos Kerkez, 0.01 expected goalsLiverpool, 25': Dominik Szoboszlai, 0.03 expected goalsLiverpool, 26': Cody Gakpo, 0.03 expected goalsLiverpool, 28': Milos Kerkez, 0.02 expected goalsLiverpool, 40': Ryan Gravenberch, 0.09 expected goalsLiverpool, 46': Alexander Isak, 0.28 expected goalsLiverpool, 46': Alexander Isak, 0.54 expected goalsLiverpool, 46': Florian Wirtz, 0.09 expected goalsLiverpool, 52': Cody Gakpo, 0.05 expected goalsLiverpool, 54': Cody Gakpo, 0.02 expected goals, GOALLiverpool, 56': Rio Ngumoha, 0.04 expected goalsLiverpool, 56': Cody Gakpo, 0.10 expected goalsLiverpool, 56': Ryan Gravenberch, 0.03 expected goalsLiverpool, 59': Cody Gakpo, 0.02 expected goalsLiverpool, 65': Virgil van Dijk, 0.07 expected goalsLiverpool, 68': Alexander Isak, 0.11 expected goalsLiverpool, 77': Víctor Muñoz, 0.06 expected goalsLiverpool, 79': Dominik Szoboszlai, 0.04 expected goalsLiverpool, 84': Alexander Isak, 0.09 expected goalsLiverpool, 85': Víctor Muñoz, 0.08 expected goalsLiverpool, 90': Lewis Koumas, 0.06 expected goalsLiverpool, 91': Jeremie Frimpong, 0.01 expected goalsLiverpool, 98': Dominik Szoboszlai, 0.82 expected goals, GOALLiverpool: 3.20NewcastleLiverpoolGOAL Anthony Elanga 4'GOAL Cody Gakpo 54'GOAL Joe Willock 56'GOAL Dominik Szoboszlai 98'

Expected goals added up through the match; the rings are goals.

Expected goals, three ways

Expected goalsNewcastleLiverpool
In full1.363.20
Excluding penalties1.362.38
As the rating counts them1.132.33

In full, every chance counts at its value. What the numbers mean says how the rating counts a chance.

Where each side's chances came from

Expected goals fromNewcastleLiverpool
Open play1.241.10
of which counter-attacks0.360.14
Set pieces0.121.28
Penalties0.000.82
Headers0.001.08
Inside the box1.092.02
Shots1327
Expected goals a shot0.100.12

Every shot

MinSidePlayerResultxGPlayBodyMetres
1:36LiverpoolFlorian Wirtz Blocked0.10RegularPlayfoot15
4:11NewcastleAnthony Elanga Goal0.27FastBreakfoot17
8:06LiverpoolVirgil van Dijk Blocked0.17SetPiecehead7
8:52LiverpoolCody Gakpo Blocked0.04FromCornerfoot15
11:45NewcastleYoane Wissa Missed0.05RegularPlayfoot30
17:09LiverpoolFlorian Wirtz Saved0.20RegularPlayfoot16
17:38LiverpoolMilos Kerkez Missed0.01FromCornerfoot24
21:49NewcastleAmar Dedic Blocked0.05RegularPlayfoot18
25:49LiverpoolDominik Szoboszlai Blocked0.03DirectFreekickfoot32
26:42LiverpoolCody Gakpo Blocked0.03RegularPlayfoot23
28:42LiverpoolMilos Kerkez Saved0.02RegularPlayfoot28
30:59NewcastleWilliam Osula Blocked0.05DirectFreekickfoot26
31:02NewcastleWilliam Osula Blocked0.02SetPiecefoot25
40:01LiverpoolRyan Gravenberch Blocked0.09RegularPlayfoot26
43:43NewcastleYoane Wissa Missed0.02RegularPlayfoot26
46:00LiverpoolAlexander Isak Blocked0.28FromCornerhead3
46:02LiverpoolAlexander Isak Saved0.54FromCornerhead2
46:05LiverpoolFlorian Wirtz Blocked0.09FromCornerfoot13
47:12NewcastleLewis Miley Missed0.03RegularPlayfoot21
52:17LiverpoolCody Gakpo Missed0.05RegularPlayfoot21
54:02LiverpoolCody Gakpo Goal0.02RegularPlayfoot27
56:08LiverpoolRio Ngumoha Blocked0.04RegularPlayfoot19
56:14LiverpoolCody Gakpo Blocked0.10RegularPlayfoot13
56:44LiverpoolRyan Gravenberch Blocked0.03RegularPlayfoot23
56:59NewcastleJoe Willock Goal0.09FastBreakfoot20
59:37LiverpoolCody Gakpo Missed0.02RegularPlayfoot26
65:08LiverpoolVirgil van Dijk Saved0.07SetPiecefoot14
66:56NewcastleYoane Wissa Missed0.44RegularPlayfoot5
67:12NewcastleAnthony Elanga Saved0.02RegularPlayfoot28
68:17LiverpoolAlexander Isak Missed0.11RegularPlayfoot13
69:58NewcastleJacob Ramsey Missed0.05ThrowinSetPiecefoot15
77:14LiverpoolVíctor Muñoz Blocked0.06RegularPlayfoot15
79:26LiverpoolDominik Szoboszlai Blocked0.04DirectFreekickfoot28
84:17LiverpoolAlexander Isak Saved0.09RegularPlayhead9
85:17NewcastleYoane Wissa Saved0.25RegularPlayfoot13
85:28LiverpoolVíctor Muñoz Blocked0.08FastBreakfoot16
89:29NewcastleHarvey Barnes Blocked0.04RegularPlayfoot20
90:43LiverpoolLewis Koumas Blocked0.06FastBreakfoot20
91:22LiverpoolJeremie Frimpong Blocked0.01FromCornerfoot28
98:06LiverpoolDominik Szoboszlai Goal0.82Penaltyfoot11

Match statistics

NewcastleLiverpool
Corners26
Shots1327
Shots on target47
Shots off target54
Total passes296445
Pass accuracy %75.784.3
Fouls committed1615
Total yellow cards53

Counts of the events in the match feed whose definitions the project has checked against a second source.