Ipswich 2–1 Sunderland

2026-08-22 15:00, Portman Road. Half time 1–1. Emersonn 23', Jack Clarke 89'; Nilson Angulo 38'

2026-08-22 15:00
Ipswich
2–1
Sunderland
1.7
expected goals
+0.7 to Ipswich
1.0

Ipswich created more, 1.7 to 1.0 expected goals, and won.

10Shots11
1.61Expected goals from open play0.76
0.08From set pieces0.19
1.69Excluding penalties0.96
0.82As the rating counts them0.84
2.0Points the chances deserved0.8

Rating brought into the match, expected goals a match as the rating counts them: Ipswich creates 0.94 and allows 1.42; Sunderland creates 0.92 and allows 1.30.

The result the chances deserved

From the two sides' shots taken together: Ipswich win 58 per cent, draw 26, Sunderland win 17. Ipswich deserved 2.0 points and took 3; Sunderland deserved 0.8 and took 0.

Each shot scores with its own probability, independently; two shots in one passage of play both count although only one could have scored, so a match with rebounds is slightly overstated.

Where the chances were

Ipswich attack this way →← Sunderland attack this wayBrian Brobbey 3': 0.33 expected goalsTrai Hume 3': 0.03 expected goalsJulio Enciso 6': 0.02 expected goalsEmersonn 6': 0.01 expected goalsEmersonn 23': 0.66 expected goals, GOALEmersonn 26': 0.04 expected goalsNoah Sadiki 28': 0.06 expected goalsLuke O'Nien 28': 0.02 expected goalsNilson Angulo 29': 0.07 expected goalsJulio Enciso 30': 0.09 expected goalsThomas Meunier 37': 0.04 expected goalsNilson Angulo 38': 0.06 expected goals, GOALTrai Hume 46': 0.03 expected goalsDaizen Maeda 49': 0.39 expected goalsJulio Enciso 50': 0.09 expected goalsBrian Brobbey 52': 0.28 expected goalsMarcelino Núñez 64': 0.04 expected goalsThomas Meunier 81': 0.01 expected goalsJack Clarke 89': 0.31 expected goals, GOALJack Clarke 91': 0.02 expected goalsHabib Diarra 93': 0.02 expected goals

One mark per shot, larger for a better chance; filled marks are goals. Hover a mark for the player and the chance.

How the match built up

0.000.501.001.5001122334455667788MinuteIpswich: 0Ipswich, 6': Julio Enciso, 0.02 expected goalsIpswich, 6': Emersonn, 0.01 expected goalsIpswich, 23': Emersonn, 0.66 expected goals, GOALIpswich, 26': Emersonn, 0.04 expected goalsIpswich, 30': Julio Enciso, 0.09 expected goalsIpswich, 49': Daizen Maeda, 0.39 expected goalsIpswich, 50': Julio Enciso, 0.09 expected goalsIpswich, 64': Marcelino Núñez, 0.04 expected goalsIpswich, 89': Jack Clarke, 0.31 expected goals, GOALIpswich, 91': Jack Clarke, 0.02 expected goalsIpswich: 1.69Sunderland: 0Sunderland, 3': Brian Brobbey, 0.33 expected goalsSunderland, 3': Trai Hume, 0.03 expected goalsSunderland, 28': Noah Sadiki, 0.06 expected goalsSunderland, 28': Luke O'Nien, 0.02 expected goalsSunderland, 29': Nilson Angulo, 0.07 expected goalsSunderland, 37': Thomas Meunier, 0.04 expected goalsSunderland, 38': Nilson Angulo, 0.06 expected goals, GOALSunderland, 46': Trai Hume, 0.03 expected goalsSunderland, 52': Brian Brobbey, 0.28 expected goalsSunderland, 81': Thomas Meunier, 0.01 expected goalsSunderland, 93': Habib Diarra, 0.02 expected goalsSunderland: 0.96IpswichSunderlandGOAL Emersonn 23'GOAL Nilson Angulo 38'GOAL Jack Clarke 89'

Expected goals added up through the match; the rings are goals.

Expected goals, three ways

Expected goalsIpswichSunderland
In full1.690.96
Excluding penalties1.690.96
As the rating counts them0.820.84

In full, every chance counts at its value. What the numbers mean says how the rating counts a chance.

Where each side's chances came from

Expected goals fromIpswichSunderland
Open play1.610.76
of which counter-attacks0.680.33
Set pieces0.080.19
Penalties0.000.00
Headers0.450.17
Inside the box1.650.78
Shots1011
Expected goals a shot0.170.09

Every shot

MinSidePlayerResultxGPlayBodyMetres
3:07SunderlandBrian Brobbey Blocked0.33FastBreakfoot16
3:48SunderlandTrai Hume Missed0.03FromCornerfoot23
6:24IpswichJulio Enciso Blocked0.02RegularPlayfoot26
6:32IpswichEmersonn Saved0.01RegularPlayhead15
23:15IpswichEmersonn Goal0.66FastBreakfoot10
26:04IpswichEmersonn Missed0.04SetPiecehead10
28:08SunderlandNoah Sadiki Saved0.06RegularPlayhead10
28:50SunderlandLuke O'Nien Blocked0.02FromCornerfoot28
29:38SunderlandNilson Angulo Missed0.07FromCornerhead7
30:43IpswichJulio Enciso Missed0.09RegularPlayfoot11
37:17SunderlandThomas Meunier Blocked0.04RegularPlayfoot18
38:46SunderlandNilson Angulo Goal0.06DirectFreekickfoot23
46:54SunderlandTrai Hume Missed0.03RegularPlayhead12
49:19IpswichDaizen Maeda Missed0.39RegularPlayhead4
50:09IpswichJulio Enciso Missed0.09RegularPlayfoot12
52:08SunderlandBrian Brobbey Saved0.28RegularPlayfoot9
64:35IpswichMarcelino Núñez Missed0.04FromCornerfoot16
81:02SunderlandThomas Meunier Saved0.01ThrowinSetPiecefoot33
89:39IpswichJack Clarke Goal0.31RegularPlayfoot16
91:57IpswichJack Clarke Missed0.02FastBreakfoot32
93:25SunderlandHabib Diarra Blocked0.02RegularPlayfoot27

Match statistics

IpswichSunderland
Corners35
Shots1011
Shots on target34
Shots off target63
Total passes333557
Pass accuracy %78.787.8
Fouls committed1214
Total yellow cards03

Counts of the events in the match feed whose definitions the project has checked against a second source.