Brentford 3–0 Tottenham

2026-08-22 17:30, Gtech Community Stadium. Half time 2–0. Keane Lewis-Potter 11', Vitaly Janelt 32', Michael Kayode 48'

2026-08-22 17:30
Brentford
3–0
Tottenham
4.5
expected goals
+4.1 to Brentford
0.4

Brentford created more, 4.5 to 0.4 expected goals, and won.

26Shots9
1.96Expected goals from open play0.37
1.72From set pieces0.04
0.82From penalties0.00
3.68Excluding penalties0.41
2.74As the rating counts them0.41
3.0Points the chances deserved0.0

Rating brought into the match, expected goals a match as the rating counts them: Brentford creates 1.25 and allows 1.27; Tottenham creates 1.23 and allows 1.30.

The result the chances deserved

From the two sides' shots taken together: Brentford win 99 per cent, draw 1, Tottenham win 0. Brentford deserved 3.0 points and took 3; Tottenham deserved 0.0 and took 0.

Each shot scores with its own probability, independently; two shots in one passage of play both count although only one could have scored, so a match with rebounds is slightly overstated.

Where the chances were

Brentford attack this way →← Tottenham attack this wayMathias Jensen 2': 0.03 expected goalsKeane Lewis-Potter 3': 0.02 expected goalsNathan Collins 3': 0.72 expected goalsDango Ouattara 7': 0.01 expected goalsConor Gallagher 9': 0.02 expected goalsKeane Lewis-Potter 11': 0.33 expected goals, GOALMathys Tel 14': 0.04 expected goalsMichael Kayode 28': 0.05 expected goalsMathias Jensen 32': 0.11 expected goalsVitaly Janelt 32': 0.55 expected goals, GOALMichael Kayode 35': 0.07 expected goalsSandro Tonali 39': 0.04 expected goalsDango Ouattara 42': 0.03 expected goalsMichael Kayode 44': 0.12 expected goalsKevin Schade 47': 0.08 expected goalsMamadou Sangaré 47': 0.06 expected goalsMichael Kayode 48': 0.39 expected goals, GOALMikey Moore 49': 0.08 expected goalsMikey Moore 51': 0.06 expected goalsKevin Schade 52': 0.10 expected goalsVitaly Janelt 52': 0.09 expected goalsIgor Thiago 54': 0.82 expected goalsSandro Tonali 58': 0.02 expected goalsMikey Moore 61': 0.08 expected goalsKevin Schade 68': 0.03 expected goalsJaidon Anthony 75': 0.04 expected goalsIgor Thiago 76': 0.30 expected goalsNathan Collins 77': 0.02 expected goalsMathys Tel 81': 0.03 expected goalsKristoffer Ajer 84': 0.09 expected goalsDominic Solanke 86': 0.05 expected goalsKevin Schade 87': 0.16 expected goalsCallum Wilson 90': 0.07 expected goalsKevin Schade 90': 0.17 expected goalsYehor Yarmoliuk 92': 0.03 expected goals

One mark per shot, larger for a better chance; filled marks are goals. Hover a mark for the player and the chance.

How the match built up

0.001.002.003.004.0001122334455667788MinuteBrentford: 0Brentford, 2': Mathias Jensen, 0.03 expected goalsBrentford, 3': Keane Lewis-Potter, 0.02 expected goalsBrentford, 3': Nathan Collins, 0.72 expected goalsBrentford, 7': Dango Ouattara, 0.01 expected goalsBrentford, 11': Keane Lewis-Potter, 0.33 expected goals, GOALBrentford, 28': Michael Kayode, 0.05 expected goalsBrentford, 32': Mathias Jensen, 0.11 expected goalsBrentford, 32': Vitaly Janelt, 0.55 expected goals, GOALBrentford, 35': Michael Kayode, 0.07 expected goalsBrentford, 42': Dango Ouattara, 0.03 expected goalsBrentford, 44': Michael Kayode, 0.12 expected goalsBrentford, 47': Kevin Schade, 0.08 expected goalsBrentford, 47': Mamadou Sangaré, 0.06 expected goalsBrentford, 48': Michael Kayode, 0.39 expected goals, GOALBrentford, 52': Kevin Schade, 0.10 expected goalsBrentford, 52': Vitaly Janelt, 0.09 expected goalsBrentford, 54': Igor Thiago, 0.82 expected goalsBrentford, 68': Kevin Schade, 0.03 expected goalsBrentford, 75': Jaidon Anthony, 0.04 expected goalsBrentford, 76': Igor Thiago, 0.30 expected goalsBrentford, 77': Nathan Collins, 0.02 expected goalsBrentford, 84': Kristoffer Ajer, 0.09 expected goalsBrentford, 87': Kevin Schade, 0.16 expected goalsBrentford, 90': Callum Wilson, 0.07 expected goalsBrentford, 90': Kevin Schade, 0.17 expected goalsBrentford, 92': Yehor Yarmoliuk, 0.03 expected goalsBrentford: 4.50Tottenham: 0Tottenham, 9': Conor Gallagher, 0.02 expected goalsTottenham, 14': Mathys Tel, 0.04 expected goalsTottenham, 39': Sandro Tonali, 0.04 expected goalsTottenham, 49': Mikey Moore, 0.08 expected goalsTottenham, 51': Mikey Moore, 0.06 expected goalsTottenham, 58': Sandro Tonali, 0.02 expected goalsTottenham, 61': Mikey Moore, 0.08 expected goalsTottenham, 81': Mathys Tel, 0.03 expected goalsTottenham, 86': Dominic Solanke, 0.05 expected goalsTottenham: 0.41BrentfordTottenhamGOAL Keane Lewis-Potter 11'GOAL Vitaly Janelt 32'GOAL Michael Kayode 48'

Expected goals added up through the match; the rings are goals.

Expected goals, three ways

Expected goalsBrentfordTottenham
In full4.500.41
Excluding penalties3.680.41
As the rating counts them2.740.41

In full, every chance counts at its value. What the numbers mean says how the rating counts a chance.

Where each side's chances came from

Expected goals fromBrentfordTottenham
Open play1.960.37
of which counter-attacks0.160.00
Set pieces1.720.04
Penalties0.820.00
Headers1.280.00
Inside the box3.420.27
Shots269
Expected goals a shot0.170.05

Every shot

MinSidePlayerResultxGPlayBodyMetres
2:37BrentfordMathias Jensen Blocked0.03DirectFreekickfoot29
3:11BrentfordKeane Lewis-Potter Blocked0.02FromCornerfoot19
3:25BrentfordNathan Collins Missed0.72FromCornerhead7
7:37BrentfordDango Ouattara Missed0.01FromCornerhead15
9:27TottenhamConor Gallagher Missed0.02RegularPlayfoot28
11:39BrentfordKeane Lewis-Potter Goal0.33RegularPlayfoot8
14:45TottenhamMathys Tel Blocked0.04DirectFreekickfoot29
28:32BrentfordMichael Kayode Missed0.05SetPiecehead11
32:02BrentfordMathias Jensen Saved0.11RegularPlayfoot23
32:04BrentfordVitaly Janelt Goal0.55RegularPlayfoot9
35:54BrentfordMichael Kayode Blocked0.07RegularPlayhead10
39:39TottenhamSandro Tonali Missed0.04RegularPlayfoot21
42:39BrentfordDango Ouattara Missed0.03RegularPlayfoot26
44:07BrentfordMichael Kayode Missed0.12RegularPlayhead8
47:06BrentfordKevin Schade Blocked0.08ThrowinSetPiecefoot10
47:59BrentfordMamadou Sangaré Saved0.06FromCornerfoot14
48:01BrentfordMichael Kayode Goal0.39FromCornerfoot4
49:22TottenhamMikey Moore Saved0.08RegularPlayfoot15
51:09TottenhamMikey Moore Saved0.06RegularPlayfoot14
52:47BrentfordKevin Schade Missed0.10RegularPlayfoot13
52:49BrentfordVitaly Janelt Blocked0.09RegularPlayfoot16
54:26BrentfordIgor Thiago Post0.82Penaltyfoot11
58:03TottenhamSandro Tonali Saved0.02RegularPlayfoot29
61:27TottenhamMikey Moore Saved0.08RegularPlayfoot15
68:04BrentfordKevin Schade Saved0.03RegularPlayhead13
75:04BrentfordJaidon Anthony Missed0.04FromCornerfoot19
76:03BrentfordIgor Thiago Missed0.30RegularPlayfoot7
77:03BrentfordNathan Collins Blocked0.02ThrowinSetPiecehead11
81:18TottenhamMathys Tel Missed0.03RegularPlayfoot24
84:22BrentfordKristoffer Ajer Saved0.09FromCornerhead7
86:05TottenhamDominic Solanke Blocked0.05RegularPlayfoot17
87:13BrentfordKevin Schade Saved0.16FastBreakfoot14
90:16BrentfordCallum Wilson Blocked0.07RegularPlayfoot14
90:59BrentfordKevin Schade Missed0.17FromCornerhead5
92:20BrentfordYehor Yarmoliuk Missed0.03FromCornerfoot21

Match statistics

BrentfordTottenham
Corners73
Shots269
Shots on target84
Shots off target113
Total passes360549
Pass accuracy %82.287.8
Fouls committed1714
Total yellow cards11

Counts of the events in the match feed whose definitions the project has checked against a second source.