Man Utd 5–2 Ipswich

2026-08-30 16:30, Old Trafford. Half time 1–1. Bruno Fernandes 39', Jacob Greaves 55' (own goal), Bruno Fernandes 60', Bruno Fernandes 67', Bryan Mbeumo 81'; Leif Davis 28', Chuba Akpom 90'

2026-08-30 16:30
Man Utd
5–2
Ipswich
4.5
expected goals
+3.1 to Man Utd
1.4

Man Utd created more, 4.5 to 1.4 expected goals, and won.

33Shots9
3.31Expected goals from open play1.28
0.35From set pieces0.07
0.82From penalties0.00
3.66Excluding penalties1.36
3.17As the rating counts them0.81
2.8Points the chances deserved0.1

Rating brought into the match, expected goals a match as the rating counts them: Man Utd creates 1.47 and allows 1.18; Ipswich creates 0.95 and allows 1.41.

The result the chances deserved

From the two sides' shots taken together: Man Utd win 93 per cent, draw 5, Ipswich win 2. Man Utd deserved 2.8 points and took 3; Ipswich deserved 0.1 and took 0.

Each shot scores with its own probability, independently; two shots in one passage of play both count although only one could have scored, so a match with rebounds is slightly overstated.

Where the chances were

Man Utd attack this way →← Ipswich attack this wayMarcus Rashford 5': 0.02 expected goalsMatheus Cunha 6': 0.05 expected goalsDiogo Dalot 11': 0.06 expected goalsJulio Enciso 12': 0.14 expected goalsBruno Fernandes 13': 0.11 expected goalsYouri Tielemans 16': 0.02 expected goalsMarcus Rashford 19': 0.04 expected goalsDaizen Maeda 22': 0.13 expected goalsDara O'Shea 22': 0.04 expected goalsBruno Fernandes 25': 0.04 expected goalsMarcus Rashford 26': 0.09 expected goalsLeif Davis 28': 0.12 expected goals, GOALLeif Davis 30': 0.15 expected goalsSasa Lukic 31': 0.03 expected goalsBruno Fernandes 39': 0.29 expected goals, GOALDiogo Dalot 44': 0.02 expected goalsLisandro Martínez 45': 0.02 expected goalsJulio Enciso 49': 0.04 expected goalsBryan Mbeumo 51': 0.81 expected goalsYouri Tielemans 51': 0.49 expected goalsKobbie Mainoo 52': 0.07 expected goalsDiogo Dalot 52': 0.07 expected goalsKobbie Mainoo 52': 0.08 expected goalsYouri Tielemans 53': 0.03 expected goalsBryan Mbeumo 55': 0.19 expected goalsHarry Maguire 55': 0.03 expected goalsBruno Fernandes 60': 0.82 expected goals, GOALMarcus Rashford 63': 0.09 expected goalsDiogo Dalot 63': 0.03 expected goalsKobbie Mainoo 67': 0.02 expected goalsBryan Mbeumo 67': 0.10 expected goalsBruno Fernandes 67': 0.31 expected goals, GOALBruno Fernandes 68': 0.00 expected goalsBryan Mbeumo 75': 0.04 expected goalsBruno Fernandes 76': 0.02 expected goalsMatheus Cunha 76': 0.08 expected goalsBruno Fernandes 80': 0.05 expected goalsBryan Mbeumo 81': 0.18 expected goals, GOALPatrick Dorgu 85': 0.12 expected goalsJulio Enciso 90': 0.04 expected goalsChuba Akpom 90': 0.67 expected goals, GOALPatrick Dorgu 96': 0.07 expected goals

One mark per shot, larger for a better chance; filled marks are goals. Hover a mark for the player and the chance.

How the match built up

0.001.002.003.004.0001224364860728496MinuteMan Utd: 0Man Utd, 5': Marcus Rashford, 0.02 expected goalsMan Utd, 6': Matheus Cunha, 0.05 expected goalsMan Utd, 11': Diogo Dalot, 0.06 expected goalsMan Utd, 13': Bruno Fernandes, 0.11 expected goalsMan Utd, 16': Youri Tielemans, 0.02 expected goalsMan Utd, 19': Marcus Rashford, 0.04 expected goalsMan Utd, 25': Bruno Fernandes, 0.04 expected goalsMan Utd, 26': Marcus Rashford, 0.09 expected goalsMan Utd, 39': Bruno Fernandes, 0.29 expected goals, GOALMan Utd, 44': Diogo Dalot, 0.02 expected goalsMan Utd, 45': Lisandro Martínez, 0.02 expected goalsMan Utd, 51': Bryan Mbeumo, 0.81 expected goalsMan Utd, 51': Youri Tielemans, 0.49 expected goalsMan Utd, 52': Kobbie Mainoo, 0.07 expected goalsMan Utd, 52': Diogo Dalot, 0.07 expected goalsMan Utd, 52': Kobbie Mainoo, 0.08 expected goalsMan Utd, 53': Youri Tielemans, 0.03 expected goalsMan Utd, 55': Bryan Mbeumo, 0.19 expected goalsMan Utd, 55': Harry Maguire, 0.03 expected goalsMan Utd, 60': Bruno Fernandes, 0.82 expected goals, GOALMan Utd, 63': Marcus Rashford, 0.09 expected goalsMan Utd, 63': Diogo Dalot, 0.03 expected goalsMan Utd, 67': Kobbie Mainoo, 0.02 expected goalsMan Utd, 67': Bryan Mbeumo, 0.10 expected goalsMan Utd, 67': Bruno Fernandes, 0.31 expected goals, GOALMan Utd, 68': Bruno Fernandes, 0.00 expected goalsMan Utd, 75': Bryan Mbeumo, 0.04 expected goalsMan Utd, 76': Bruno Fernandes, 0.02 expected goalsMan Utd, 76': Matheus Cunha, 0.08 expected goalsMan Utd, 80': Bruno Fernandes, 0.05 expected goalsMan Utd, 81': Bryan Mbeumo, 0.18 expected goals, GOALMan Utd, 85': Patrick Dorgu, 0.12 expected goalsMan Utd, 96': Patrick Dorgu, 0.07 expected goalsMan Utd: 4.48Ipswich: 0Ipswich, 12': Julio Enciso, 0.14 expected goalsIpswich, 22': Daizen Maeda, 0.13 expected goalsIpswich, 22': Dara O'Shea, 0.04 expected goalsIpswich, 28': Leif Davis, 0.12 expected goals, GOALIpswich, 30': Leif Davis, 0.15 expected goalsIpswich, 31': Sasa Lukic, 0.03 expected goalsIpswich, 49': Julio Enciso, 0.04 expected goalsIpswich, 90': Julio Enciso, 0.04 expected goalsIpswich, 90': Chuba Akpom, 0.67 expected goals, GOALIpswich: 1.36Man UtdIpswichGOAL Leif Davis 28'GOAL Bruno Fernandes 39'GOAL Bruno Fernandes 60'GOAL Bruno Fernandes 67'GOAL Bryan Mbeumo 81'GOAL Chuba Akpom 90'

Expected goals added up through the match; the rings are goals.

Expected goals, three ways

Expected goalsMan UtdIpswich
In full4.481.36
Excluding penalties3.661.36
As the rating counts them3.170.81

In full, every chance counts at its value. What the numbers mean says how the rating counts a chance.

Where each side's chances came from

Expected goals fromMan UtdIpswich
Open play3.311.28
of which counter-attacks0.710.14
Set pieces0.350.07
Penalties0.820.00
Headers0.340.04
Inside the box3.051.24
Shots339
Expected goals a shot0.140.15

Every shot

MinSidePlayerResultxGPlayBodyMetres
5:44Man UtdMarcus Rashford Saved0.02RegularPlayfoot29
6:43Man UtdMatheus Cunha Missed0.05RegularPlayfoot21
11:54Man UtdDiogo Dalot Saved0.06RegularPlayfoot18
12:54IpswichJulio Enciso Saved0.14FastBreakfoot15
13:16Man UtdBruno Fernandes Blocked0.11FastBreakfoot17
16:39Man UtdYouri Tielemans Blocked0.02RegularPlayfoot27
19:05Man UtdMarcus Rashford Missed0.04DirectFreekickfoot30
22:00IpswichDaizen Maeda Saved0.13RegularPlayfoot20
22:44IpswichDara O'Shea Missed0.04FromCornerhead9
25:34Man UtdBruno Fernandes Blocked0.04DirectFreekickfoot28
26:46Man UtdMarcus Rashford Missed0.09RegularPlayfoot8
28:28IpswichLeif Davis Goal0.12RegularPlayfoot13
30:33IpswichLeif Davis Saved0.15RegularPlayfoot7
31:29IpswichSasa Lukic Blocked0.03FromCornerfoot21
39:43Man UtdBruno Fernandes Goal0.29FastBreakfoot15
44:13Man UtdDiogo Dalot Missed0.02RegularPlayfoot27
45:42Man UtdLisandro Martínez Missed0.02ThrowinSetPiecefoot27
49:28IpswichJulio Enciso Missed0.04RegularPlayfoot26
51:40Man UtdBryan Mbeumo Post0.81RegularPlayfoot3
51:41Man UtdYouri Tielemans Saved0.49RegularPlayfoot5
52:34Man UtdKobbie Mainoo Blocked0.07FromCornerfoot13
52:35Man UtdDiogo Dalot Blocked0.07FromCornerfoot14
52:49Man UtdKobbie Mainoo Blocked0.08FromCornerfoot18
53:07Man UtdYouri Tielemans Saved0.03RegularPlayfoot24
55:45Man UtdBryan Mbeumo Blocked0.19RegularPlayhead7
55:54Man UtdHarry Maguire Missed0.03RegularPlayfoot22
60:37Man UtdBruno Fernandes Goal0.82Penaltyfoot11
63:20Man UtdMarcus Rashford Saved0.09RegularPlayfoot10
63:59Man UtdDiogo Dalot Missed0.03FromCornerhead10
67:25Man UtdKobbie Mainoo Blocked0.02RegularPlayfoot24
67:28Man UtdBryan Mbeumo Blocked0.10RegularPlayfoot15
67:29Man UtdBruno Fernandes Goal0.31RegularPlayfoot7
68:58Man UtdBruno Fernandes Missed0.00FastBreakfoot46
75:15Man UtdBryan Mbeumo Blocked0.04RegularPlayfoot20
76:54Man UtdBruno Fernandes Blocked0.02RegularPlayfoot24
76:59Man UtdMatheus Cunha Saved0.08RegularPlayfoot16
80:26Man UtdBruno Fernandes Blocked0.05FastBreakfoot25
81:48Man UtdBryan Mbeumo Goal0.18FastBreakfoot25
85:12Man UtdPatrick Dorgu Saved0.12RegularPlayhead8
90:11IpswichJulio Enciso Missed0.04RegularPlayfoot26
90:39IpswichChuba Akpom Goal0.67RegularPlayfoot8
96:29Man UtdPatrick Dorgu Missed0.07FastBreakfoot20

Match statistics

Man UtdIpswich
Corners84
Shots339
Shots on target115
Shots off target103
Total passes561369
Pass accuracy %89.582.7
Fouls committed712
Total yellow cards13

Counts of the events in the match feed whose definitions the project has checked against a second source.