Everton 2–2 Man Utd

2026-09-06 15:00, Hill Dickinson Stadium. Half time 0–0. Tyrique George 82', Ainsley Maitland-Niles 95'; Bryan Mbeumo 46', Benjamin Sesko 87'

2026-09-06 15:00
Everton
2–2
Man Utd
1.2
expected goals
+0.5 to Everton
0.7

Everton created more, 1.2 to 0.7 expected goals, and drew.

18Shots14
0.94Expected goals from open play0.64
0.30From set pieces0.08
1.24Excluding penalties0.72
1.06As the rating counts them0.72
1.8Points the chances deserved0.9

Rating brought into the match, expected goals a match as the rating counts them: Everton creates 1.04 and allows 1.23; Man Utd creates 1.52 and allows 1.19.

The result the chances deserved

From the two sides' shots taken together: Everton win 50 per cent, draw 30, Man Utd win 20. Everton deserved 1.8 points and took 1; Man Utd deserved 0.9 and took 1.

Each shot scores with its own probability, independently; two shots in one passage of play both count although only one could have scored, so a match with rebounds is slightly overstated.

Where the chances were

Everton attack this way →← Man Utd attack this wayBruno Fernandes 7': 0.13 expected goalsKiernan Dewsbury-Hall 8': 0.02 expected goalsYouri Tielemans 17': 0.02 expected goalsMatheus Cunha 18': 0.02 expected goalsBruno Fernandes 19': 0.03 expected goalsDiogo Dalot 20': 0.02 expected goalsMatheus Cunha 21': 0.10 expected goalsThierno Barry 39': 0.02 expected goalsThierno Barry 41': 0.04 expected goalsThierno Barry 42': 0.14 expected goalsBryan Mbeumo 46': 0.06 expected goals, GOALJarrad Branthwaite 46': 0.03 expected goalsBruno Fernandes 48': 0.02 expected goalsHarrison Armstrong 53': 0.05 expected goalsBrennan Johnson 56': 0.31 expected goalsThierno Barry 58': 0.18 expected goalsKiernan Dewsbury-Hall 58': 0.09 expected goalsBruno Fernandes 64': 0.02 expected goalsYouri Tielemans 64': 0.02 expected goalsLuke Shaw 65': 0.04 expected goalsKiernan Dewsbury-Hall 66': 0.06 expected goalsJames Tarkowski 69': 0.03 expected goalsKiernan Dewsbury-Hall 72': 0.04 expected goalsHarrison Armstrong 72': 0.05 expected goalsBryan Mbeumo 73': 0.05 expected goalsJarrad Branthwaite 81': 0.06 expected goalsTyrique George 82': 0.04 expected goals, GOALBenjamin Sesko 85': 0.02 expected goalsBenjamin Sesko 87': 0.18 expected goals, GOALJack Grealish 89': 0.03 expected goalsHayden Hackney 93': 0.04 expected goalsAinsley Maitland-Niles 95': 0.02 expected goals, GOAL

One mark per shot, larger for a better chance; filled marks are goals. Hover a mark for the player and the chance.

How the match built up

0.000.250.500.751.0001122334455667788MinuteEverton: 0Everton, 8': Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall, 0.02 expected goalsEverton, 39': Thierno Barry, 0.02 expected goalsEverton, 41': Thierno Barry, 0.04 expected goalsEverton, 42': Thierno Barry, 0.14 expected goalsEverton, 46': Jarrad Branthwaite, 0.03 expected goalsEverton, 53': Harrison Armstrong, 0.05 expected goalsEverton, 56': Brennan Johnson, 0.31 expected goalsEverton, 58': Thierno Barry, 0.18 expected goalsEverton, 58': Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall, 0.09 expected goalsEverton, 66': Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall, 0.06 expected goalsEverton, 69': James Tarkowski, 0.03 expected goalsEverton, 72': Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall, 0.04 expected goalsEverton, 72': Harrison Armstrong, 0.05 expected goalsEverton, 81': Jarrad Branthwaite, 0.06 expected goalsEverton, 82': Tyrique George, 0.04 expected goals, GOALEverton, 89': Jack Grealish, 0.03 expected goalsEverton, 93': Hayden Hackney, 0.04 expected goalsEverton, 95': Ainsley Maitland-Niles, 0.02 expected goals, GOALEverton: 1.24Man Utd: 0Man Utd, 7': Bruno Fernandes, 0.13 expected goalsMan Utd, 17': Youri Tielemans, 0.02 expected goalsMan Utd, 18': Matheus Cunha, 0.02 expected goalsMan Utd, 19': Bruno Fernandes, 0.03 expected goalsMan Utd, 20': Diogo Dalot, 0.02 expected goalsMan Utd, 21': Matheus Cunha, 0.10 expected goalsMan Utd, 46': Bryan Mbeumo, 0.06 expected goals, GOALMan Utd, 48': Bruno Fernandes, 0.02 expected goalsMan Utd, 64': Bruno Fernandes, 0.02 expected goalsMan Utd, 64': Youri Tielemans, 0.02 expected goalsMan Utd, 65': Luke Shaw, 0.04 expected goalsMan Utd, 73': Bryan Mbeumo, 0.05 expected goalsMan Utd, 85': Benjamin Sesko, 0.02 expected goalsMan Utd, 87': Benjamin Sesko, 0.18 expected goals, GOALMan Utd: 0.72EvertonMan UtdGOAL Bryan Mbeumo 46'GOAL Tyrique George 82'GOAL Benjamin Sesko 87'GOAL Ainsley Maitland-Niles 95'

Expected goals added up through the match; the rings are goals.

Expected goals, three ways

Expected goalsEvertonMan Utd
In full1.240.72
Excluding penalties1.240.72
As the rating counts them1.060.72

In full, every chance counts at its value. What the numbers mean says how the rating counts a chance.

Where each side's chances came from

Expected goals fromEvertonMan Utd
Open play0.940.64
of which counter-attacks0.000.00
Set pieces0.300.08
Penalties0.000.00
Headers0.250.20
Inside the box1.110.49
Shots1814
Expected goals a shot0.070.05

Every shot

MinSidePlayerResultxGPlayBodyMetres
7:27Man UtdBruno Fernandes Post0.13RegularPlayfoot14
8:30EvertonKiernan Dewsbury-Hall Blocked0.02SetPiecefoot26
17:46Man UtdYouri Tielemans Saved0.02RegularPlayfoot28
18:51Man UtdMatheus Cunha Blocked0.02RegularPlayfoot29
19:39Man UtdBruno Fernandes Blocked0.03RegularPlayfoot25
20:22Man UtdDiogo Dalot Blocked0.02FromCornerfoot26
21:07Man UtdMatheus Cunha Missed0.10RegularPlayfoot15
39:17EvertonThierno Barry Missed0.02SetPiecehead14
41:15EvertonThierno Barry Blocked0.04RegularPlayfoot24
42:15EvertonThierno Barry Missed0.14RegularPlayhead8
46:00Man UtdBryan Mbeumo Goal0.06RegularPlayfoot22
46:21EvertonJarrad Branthwaite Saved0.03ThrowinSetPiecefoot17
48:03Man UtdBruno Fernandes Blocked0.02RegularPlayfoot23
53:58EvertonHarrison Armstrong Blocked0.05RegularPlayfoot18
56:19EvertonBrennan Johnson Blocked0.31RegularPlayfoot15
58:41EvertonThierno Barry Blocked0.18RegularPlayfoot13
58:44EvertonKiernan Dewsbury-Hall Saved0.09RegularPlayfoot16
64:06Man UtdBruno Fernandes Missed0.02SetPiecefoot24
64:40Man UtdYouri Tielemans Blocked0.02RegularPlayfoot25
65:20Man UtdLuke Shaw Missed0.04FromCornerfoot19
66:49EvertonKiernan Dewsbury-Hall Saved0.06FromCornerfoot18
69:40EvertonJames Tarkowski Missed0.03SetPiecehead12
72:22EvertonKiernan Dewsbury-Hall Blocked0.04ThrowinSetPiecefoot17
72:25EvertonHarrison Armstrong Missed0.05ThrowinSetPiecefoot16
73:09Man UtdBryan Mbeumo Blocked0.05RegularPlayfoot18
81:24EvertonJarrad Branthwaite Saved0.06SetPiecehead10
82:24EvertonTyrique George Goal0.04RegularPlayfoot19
85:10Man UtdBenjamin Sesko Missed0.02RegularPlayhead14
87:12Man UtdBenjamin Sesko Goal0.18RegularPlayhead7
89:56EvertonJack Grealish Blocked0.03RegularPlayfoot25
93:26EvertonHayden Hackney Missed0.04RegularPlayfoot19
95:11EvertonAinsley Maitland-Niles Goal0.02RegularPlayfoot25

Match statistics

EvertonMan Utd
Corners43
Shots1814
Shots on target63
Shots off target55
Total passes420524
Pass accuracy %86.286.8
Fouls committed711
Total yellow cards33

Counts of the events in the match feed whose definitions the project has checked against a second source.