Fulham 2–3 Crystal Palace

2026-09-05 15:00, Craven Cottage. Half time 2–1. Josh King 10', César Palacios 41'; Tyrick Mitchell 34', Tyrick Mitchell 53', Ben Chilwell 76'

2026-09-05 15:00
Fulham
2–3
Crystal Palace
3.8
expected goals
+2.5 to Fulham
1.3

Crystal Palace won with 1.3 expected goals to 3.8: the result went against the performance.

25Shots10
3.33Expected goals from open play1.22
0.47From set pieces0.06
3.80Excluding penalties1.28
3.03As the rating counts them1.21
2.6Points the chances deserved0.3

Rating brought into the match, expected goals a match as the rating counts them: Fulham creates 1.09 and allows 1.23; Crystal Palace creates 1.15 and allows 1.28.

The result the chances deserved

From the two sides' shots taken together: Fulham win 85 per cent, draw 9, Crystal Palace win 6. Fulham deserved 2.6 points and took 0; Crystal Palace deserved 0.3 and took 3.

Each shot scores with its own probability, independently; two shots in one passage of play both count although only one could have scored, so a match with rebounds is slightly overstated.

Where the chances were

Fulham attack this way →← Crystal Palace attack this wayTimothy Castagne 3': 0.04 expected goalsJosh King 10': 0.14 expected goals, GOALChris Richards 17': 0.06 expected goalsAnan Khalaili 19': 0.02 expected goalsQuinten Timber 21': 0.11 expected goalsEddie Nketiah 22': 0.20 expected goalsAlex Iwobi 22': 0.04 expected goalsOscar Bobb 23': 0.13 expected goalsAntonee Robinson 23': 0.02 expected goalsCésar Palacios 26': 0.34 expected goalsTimothy Castagne 27': 0.04 expected goalsGonzalo García 30': 0.03 expected goalsTimothy Castagne 32': 0.23 expected goalsTyrick Mitchell 34': 0.13 expected goals, GOALGonzalo García 37': 0.05 expected goalsAntonee Robinson 37': 0.04 expected goalsCésar Palacios 41': 0.63 expected goals, GOALGonzalo García 44': 0.03 expected goalsGonzalo García 48': 0.19 expected goalsCésar Palacios 48': 0.19 expected goalsJosh King 48': 0.09 expected goalsTyrick Mitchell 53': 0.07 expected goalsYéremy Pino 53': 0.18 expected goalsTyrick Mitchell 53': 0.10 expected goals, GOALCésar Palacios 55': 0.07 expected goalsOscar Bobb 59': 0.12 expected goalsCésar Palacios 60': 0.04 expected goalsGonzalo García 66': 0.19 expected goalsOscar Bobb 70': 0.24 expected goalsAnan Khalaili 76': 0.26 expected goalsBen Chilwell 76': 0.15 expected goals, GOALRodrigo Muniz 85': 0.27 expected goalsRyan Sessegnon 85': 0.09 expected goalsRodrigo Muniz 87': 0.26 expected goalsHugo Larsson 92': 0.28 expected goals

One mark per shot, larger for a better chance; filled marks are goals. Hover a mark for the player and the chance.

How the match built up

0.001.002.003.0001122334455667788MinuteFulham: 0Fulham, 3': Timothy Castagne, 0.04 expected goalsFulham, 10': Josh King, 0.14 expected goals, GOALFulham, 22': Alex Iwobi, 0.04 expected goalsFulham, 23': Oscar Bobb, 0.13 expected goalsFulham, 23': Antonee Robinson, 0.02 expected goalsFulham, 26': César Palacios, 0.34 expected goalsFulham, 27': Timothy Castagne, 0.04 expected goalsFulham, 30': Gonzalo García, 0.03 expected goalsFulham, 32': Timothy Castagne, 0.23 expected goalsFulham, 37': Gonzalo García, 0.05 expected goalsFulham, 37': Antonee Robinson, 0.04 expected goalsFulham, 41': César Palacios, 0.63 expected goals, GOALFulham, 44': Gonzalo García, 0.03 expected goalsFulham, 48': Gonzalo García, 0.19 expected goalsFulham, 48': César Palacios, 0.19 expected goalsFulham, 48': Josh King, 0.09 expected goalsFulham, 55': César Palacios, 0.07 expected goalsFulham, 59': Oscar Bobb, 0.12 expected goalsFulham, 60': César Palacios, 0.04 expected goalsFulham, 66': Gonzalo García, 0.19 expected goalsFulham, 70': Oscar Bobb, 0.24 expected goalsFulham, 85': Rodrigo Muniz, 0.27 expected goalsFulham, 85': Ryan Sessegnon, 0.09 expected goalsFulham, 87': Rodrigo Muniz, 0.26 expected goalsFulham, 92': Hugo Larsson, 0.28 expected goalsFulham: 3.80Crystal Palace: 0Crystal Palace, 17': Chris Richards, 0.06 expected goalsCrystal Palace, 19': Anan Khalaili, 0.02 expected goalsCrystal Palace, 21': Quinten Timber, 0.11 expected goalsCrystal Palace, 22': Eddie Nketiah, 0.20 expected goalsCrystal Palace, 34': Tyrick Mitchell, 0.13 expected goals, GOALCrystal Palace, 53': Tyrick Mitchell, 0.07 expected goalsCrystal Palace, 53': Yéremy Pino, 0.18 expected goalsCrystal Palace, 53': Tyrick Mitchell, 0.10 expected goals, GOALCrystal Palace, 76': Anan Khalaili, 0.26 expected goalsCrystal Palace, 76': Ben Chilwell, 0.15 expected goals, GOALCrystal Palace: 1.28FulhamCrystal PalaceGOAL Josh King 10'GOAL Tyrick Mitchell 34'GOAL César Palacios 41'GOAL Tyrick Mitchell 53'GOAL Ben Chilwell 76'

Expected goals added up through the match; the rings are goals.

Expected goals, three ways

Expected goalsFulhamCrystal Palace
In full3.801.28
Excluding penalties3.801.28
As the rating counts them3.031.21

In full, every chance counts at its value. What the numbers mean says how the rating counts a chance.

Where each side's chances came from

Expected goals fromFulhamCrystal Palace
Open play3.331.22
of which counter-attacks0.140.32
Set pieces0.470.06
Penalties0.000.00
Headers0.240.00
Inside the box3.711.09
Shots2510
Expected goals a shot0.150.13

Every shot

MinSidePlayerResultxGPlayBodyMetres
3:07FulhamTimothy Castagne Missed0.04RegularPlayfoot20
10:51FulhamJosh King Goal0.14FastBreakfoot14
17:34Crystal PalaceChris Richards Saved0.06FromCornerfoot17
19:52Crystal PalaceAnan Khalaili Missed0.02RegularPlayfoot26
21:32Crystal PalaceQuinten Timber Missed0.11RegularPlayfoot26
22:08Crystal PalaceEddie Nketiah Saved0.20FastBreakfoot12
22:54FulhamAlex Iwobi Blocked0.04RegularPlayfoot20
23:38FulhamOscar Bobb Blocked0.13RegularPlayfoot13
23:44FulhamAntonee Robinson Blocked0.02RegularPlayfoot25
26:56FulhamCésar Palacios Blocked0.34RegularPlayfoot14
27:30FulhamTimothy Castagne Missed0.04FromCornerfoot8
30:20FulhamGonzalo García Blocked0.03RegularPlayfoot28
32:30FulhamTimothy Castagne Saved0.23RegularPlayfoot8
34:57Crystal PalaceTyrick Mitchell Goal0.13FastBreakfoot13
37:13FulhamGonzalo García Missed0.05RegularPlayhead10
37:19FulhamAntonee Robinson Missed0.04RegularPlayfoot20
41:49FulhamCésar Palacios Goal0.63RegularPlayfoot7
44:22FulhamGonzalo García Missed0.03RegularPlayfoot23
48:04FulhamGonzalo García Blocked0.19FromCornerhead5
48:07FulhamCésar Palacios Missed0.19FromCornerfoot7
48:47FulhamJosh King Blocked0.09RegularPlayfoot14
53:07Crystal PalaceTyrick Mitchell Blocked0.07RegularPlayfoot18
53:07Crystal PalaceYéremy Pino Missed0.18RegularPlayfoot10
53:10Crystal PalaceTyrick Mitchell Goal0.10RegularPlayfoot13
55:04FulhamCésar Palacios Saved0.07RegularPlayfoot15
59:12FulhamOscar Bobb Saved0.12RegularPlayfoot14
60:33FulhamCésar Palacios Missed0.04SetPiecefoot17
66:35FulhamGonzalo García Blocked0.19RegularPlayfoot10
70:14FulhamOscar Bobb Missed0.24RegularPlayfoot9
76:48Crystal PalaceAnan Khalaili Blocked0.26RegularPlayfoot13
76:52Crystal PalaceBen Chilwell Goal0.15RegularPlayfoot13
85:54FulhamRodrigo Muniz Saved0.27RegularPlayfoot12
85:57FulhamRyan Sessegnon Missed0.09RegularPlayfoot13
87:24FulhamRodrigo Muniz Missed0.26RegularPlayfoot8
92:14FulhamHugo Larsson Blocked0.28RegularPlayfoot9

Match statistics

FulhamCrystal Palace
Corners71
Shots2510
Shots on target65
Shots off target103
Total passes678377
Pass accuracy %88.878.8
Fouls committed67
Total yellow cards00

Counts of the events in the match feed whose definitions the project has checked against a second source.