Ipswich 0–2 Liverpool

2026-09-04 20:00, Portman Road. Half time 0–2. Alexander Isak 5', Alexander Isak 8'

2026-09-04 20:00
1.0
expected goals
+0.2 to Ipswich
0.8

Liverpool won a match that was close on chances, 0.8 to 1.0 expected goals.

14Shots10
0.97Expected goals from open play0.72
0.07From set pieces0.07
1.04Excluding penalties0.79
0.86As the rating counts them0.79
1.6Points the chances deserved1.1

Rating brought into the match, expected goals a match as the rating counts them: Ipswich creates 0.95 and allows 1.46; Liverpool creates 1.60 and allows 1.17.

The result the chances deserved

From the two sides' shots taken together: Ipswich win 41 per cent, draw 33, Liverpool win 26. Ipswich deserved 1.6 points and took 0; Liverpool deserved 1.1 and took 3.

Each shot scores with its own probability, independently; two shots in one passage of play both count although only one could have scored, so a match with rebounds is slightly overstated.

Where the chances were

Ipswich attack this way →← Liverpool attack this wayAlexander Isak 5': 0.19 expected goals, GOALAlexander Isak 8': 0.14 expected goals, GOALAbdul Fatawu 10': 0.03 expected goalsJulio Enciso 11': 0.19 expected goalsJulio Enciso 18': 0.04 expected goalsDominik Szoboszlai 19': 0.04 expected goalsDominik Szoboszlai 22': 0.06 expected goalsEmersonn 25': 0.33 expected goalsJulio Enciso 28': 0.06 expected goalsLeif Davis 29': 0.07 expected goalsAlexis Mac Allister 30': 0.04 expected goalsDaizen Maeda 34': 0.05 expected goalsJulio Enciso 37': 0.03 expected goalsDominik Szoboszlai 39': 0.01 expected goalsFlorian Wirtz 41': 0.04 expected goalsFlorian Wirtz 46': 0.14 expected goalsAlexis Mac Allister 46': 0.03 expected goalsAbdul Fatawu 55': 0.02 expected goalsJulio Enciso 59': 0.06 expected goalsZian Flemming 75': 0.02 expected goalsCody Gakpo 76': 0.09 expected goalsJack Clarke 85': 0.05 expected goalsKasey McAteer 93': 0.03 expected goalsJulio Enciso 94': 0.06 expected goals

One mark per shot, larger for a better chance; filled marks are goals. Hover a mark for the player and the chance.

How the match built up

0.000.250.500.751.0001122334455667788MinuteIpswich: 0Ipswich, 10': Abdul Fatawu, 0.03 expected goalsIpswich, 11': Julio Enciso, 0.19 expected goalsIpswich, 18': Julio Enciso, 0.04 expected goalsIpswich, 25': Emersonn, 0.33 expected goalsIpswich, 28': Julio Enciso, 0.06 expected goalsIpswich, 29': Leif Davis, 0.07 expected goalsIpswich, 34': Daizen Maeda, 0.05 expected goalsIpswich, 37': Julio Enciso, 0.03 expected goalsIpswich, 55': Abdul Fatawu, 0.02 expected goalsIpswich, 59': Julio Enciso, 0.06 expected goalsIpswich, 75': Zian Flemming, 0.02 expected goalsIpswich, 85': Jack Clarke, 0.05 expected goalsIpswich, 93': Kasey McAteer, 0.03 expected goalsIpswich, 94': Julio Enciso, 0.06 expected goalsIpswich: 1.04Liverpool: 0Liverpool, 5': Alexander Isak, 0.19 expected goals, GOALLiverpool, 8': Alexander Isak, 0.14 expected goals, GOALLiverpool, 19': Dominik Szoboszlai, 0.04 expected goalsLiverpool, 22': Dominik Szoboszlai, 0.06 expected goalsLiverpool, 30': Alexis Mac Allister, 0.04 expected goalsLiverpool, 39': Dominik Szoboszlai, 0.01 expected goalsLiverpool, 41': Florian Wirtz, 0.04 expected goalsLiverpool, 46': Florian Wirtz, 0.14 expected goalsLiverpool, 46': Alexis Mac Allister, 0.03 expected goalsLiverpool, 76': Cody Gakpo, 0.09 expected goalsLiverpool: 0.79IpswichLiverpoolGOAL Alexander Isak 5'GOAL Alexander Isak 8'

Expected goals added up through the match; the rings are goals.

Expected goals, three ways

Expected goalsIpswichLiverpool
In full1.040.79
Excluding penalties1.040.79
As the rating counts them0.860.79

In full, every chance counts at its value. What the numbers mean says how the rating counts a chance.

Where each side's chances came from

Expected goals fromIpswichLiverpool
Open play0.970.72
of which counter-attacks0.060.14
Set pieces0.070.07
Penalties0.000.00
Headers0.070.03
Inside the box0.520.59
Shots1410
Expected goals a shot0.070.08

Every shot

MinSidePlayerResultxGPlayBodyMetres
5:55LiverpoolAlexander Isak Goal0.19RegularPlayfoot17
8:42LiverpoolAlexander Isak Goal0.14RegularPlayfoot19
10:38IpswichAbdul Fatawu Missed0.03RegularPlayfoot24
11:52IpswichJulio Enciso Blocked0.19RegularPlayfoot19
18:20IpswichJulio Enciso Saved0.04RegularPlayfoot23
19:15LiverpoolDominik Szoboszlai Saved0.04RegularPlayfoot22
22:45LiverpoolDominik Szoboszlai Saved0.06RegularPlayfoot19
25:37IpswichEmersonn Blocked0.33RegularPlayfoot6
28:47IpswichJulio Enciso Blocked0.06RegularPlayfoot16
29:08IpswichLeif Davis Missed0.07ThrowinSetPiecehead8
30:52LiverpoolAlexis Mac Allister Missed0.04RegularPlayfoot22
34:35IpswichDaizen Maeda Saved0.05RegularPlayfoot15
37:51IpswichJulio Enciso Missed0.03RegularPlayfoot24
39:18LiverpoolDominik Szoboszlai Saved0.01RegularPlayfoot32
41:14LiverpoolFlorian Wirtz Saved0.04SetPiecefoot20
46:02LiverpoolFlorian Wirtz Blocked0.14FastBreakfoot16
46:42LiverpoolAlexis Mac Allister Saved0.03FromCornerhead10
55:08IpswichAbdul Fatawu Missed0.02RegularPlayfoot28
59:44IpswichJulio Enciso Saved0.06FastBreakfoot24
75:51IpswichZian Flemming Saved0.02RegularPlayfoot25
76:31LiverpoolCody Gakpo Blocked0.09RegularPlayfoot14
85:49IpswichJack Clarke Blocked0.05RegularPlayfoot21
93:17IpswichKasey McAteer Saved0.03RegularPlayfoot24
94:37IpswichJulio Enciso Missed0.06RegularPlayfoot19

Match statistics

IpswichLiverpool
Corners43
Shots1410
Shots on target57
Shots off target51
Total passes428531
Pass accuracy %83.488.7
Fouls committed613
Total yellow cards13

Counts of the events in the match feed whose definitions the project has checked against a second source.