Leeds 0–0 Crystal Palace

2026-09-20 14:00, Elland Road. Half time 0–0.

2026-09-20 14:00
Leeds
0–0
Crystal Palace
1.2
expected goals
+0.3 to Leeds
0.9

An even match on chances, 1.2 to 0.9 expected goals, and a draw.

13Shots12
0.31Expected goals from open play0.34
0.84From set pieces0.52
1.16Excluding penalties0.87
1.01As the rating counts them0.84
1.6Points the chances deserved1.1

Rating brought into the match, expected goals a match as the rating counts them: Leeds creates 1.12 and allows 1.23; Crystal Palace creates 1.17 and allows 1.32.

The result the chances deserved

From the two sides' shots taken together: Leeds win 43 per cent, draw 31, Crystal Palace win 26. Leeds deserved 1.6 points and took 1; Crystal Palace deserved 1.1 and took 1.

Each shot scores with its own probability, independently; two shots in one passage of play both count although only one could have scored, so a match with rebounds is slightly overstated.

Where the chances were

Leeds attack this way →← Crystal Palace attack this wayAnton Stach 3': 0.05 expected goalsJames Justin 5': 0.07 expected goalsQuinten Timber 5': 0.02 expected goalsTarik Muharemovic 7': 0.09 expected goalsAdam Wharton 20': 0.03 expected goalsTarik Muharemovic 21': 0.05 expected goalsAo Tanaka 21': 0.10 expected goalsDaichi Kamada 23': 0.05 expected goalsAdam Wharton 26': 0.03 expected goalsJayden Bogle 28': 0.05 expected goalsQuinten Timber 31': 0.12 expected goalsJayden Bogle 32': 0.02 expected goalsAo Tanaka 33': 0.03 expected goalsNico Elvedi 41': 0.27 expected goalsYéremy Pino 48': 0.10 expected goalsJefferson Lerma 48': 0.28 expected goalsDaichi Kamada 49': 0.03 expected goalsJørgen Strand Larsen 54': 0.04 expected goalsDominic Calvert-Lewin 55': 0.23 expected goalsTarik Muharemovic 56': 0.11 expected goalsYéremy Pino 70': 0.02 expected goalsNoah Okafor 74': 0.02 expected goalsAdam Wharton 79': 0.06 expected goalsDaichi Kamada 84': 0.09 expected goalsTarik Muharemovic 86': 0.06 expected goals

One mark per shot, larger for a better chance; filled marks are goals. Hover a mark for the player and the chance.

How the match built up

0.000.250.500.751.0001122334455667788MinuteLeeds: 0Leeds, 3': Anton Stach, 0.05 expected goalsLeeds, 5': James Justin, 0.07 expected goalsLeeds, 7': Tarik Muharemovic, 0.09 expected goalsLeeds, 21': Tarik Muharemovic, 0.05 expected goalsLeeds, 21': Ao Tanaka, 0.10 expected goalsLeeds, 28': Jayden Bogle, 0.05 expected goalsLeeds, 32': Jayden Bogle, 0.02 expected goalsLeeds, 33': Ao Tanaka, 0.03 expected goalsLeeds, 41': Nico Elvedi, 0.27 expected goalsLeeds, 55': Dominic Calvert-Lewin, 0.23 expected goalsLeeds, 56': Tarik Muharemovic, 0.11 expected goalsLeeds, 74': Noah Okafor, 0.02 expected goalsLeeds, 86': Tarik Muharemovic, 0.06 expected goalsLeeds: 1.16Crystal Palace: 0Crystal Palace, 5': Quinten Timber, 0.02 expected goalsCrystal Palace, 20': Adam Wharton, 0.03 expected goalsCrystal Palace, 23': Daichi Kamada, 0.05 expected goalsCrystal Palace, 26': Adam Wharton, 0.03 expected goalsCrystal Palace, 31': Quinten Timber, 0.12 expected goalsCrystal Palace, 48': Yéremy Pino, 0.10 expected goalsCrystal Palace, 48': Jefferson Lerma, 0.28 expected goalsCrystal Palace, 49': Daichi Kamada, 0.03 expected goalsCrystal Palace, 54': Jørgen Strand Larsen, 0.04 expected goalsCrystal Palace, 70': Yéremy Pino, 0.02 expected goalsCrystal Palace, 79': Adam Wharton, 0.06 expected goalsCrystal Palace, 84': Daichi Kamada, 0.09 expected goalsCrystal Palace: 0.87LeedsCrystal Palace

Expected goals added up through the match; the rings are goals.

Expected goals, three ways

Expected goalsLeedsCrystal Palace
In full1.160.87
Excluding penalties1.160.87
As the rating counts them1.010.84

In full, every chance counts at its value. What the numbers mean says how the rating counts a chance.

Where each side's chances came from

Expected goals fromLeedsCrystal Palace
Open play0.310.34
of which counter-attacks0.000.00
Set pieces0.840.52
Penalties0.000.00
Headers0.240.09
Inside the box1.030.54
Shots1312
Expected goals a shot0.090.07

Every shot

MinSidePlayerResultxGPlayBodyMetres
3:48LeedsAnton Stach Blocked0.05DirectFreekickfoot26
5:05LeedsJames Justin Blocked0.07ThrowinSetPiecefoot14
5:26Crystal PalaceQuinten Timber Missed0.02RegularPlayfoot28
7:16LeedsTarik Muharemovic Missed0.09FromCornerhead7
20:34Crystal PalaceAdam Wharton Saved0.03SetPiecefoot23
21:42LeedsTarik Muharemovic Blocked0.05ThrowinSetPiecehead9
21:44LeedsAo Tanaka Missed0.10ThrowinSetPiecefoot10
23:29Crystal PalaceDaichi Kamada Saved0.05RegularPlayfoot18
26:48Crystal PalaceAdam Wharton Blocked0.03FromCornerfoot18
28:13LeedsJayden Bogle Blocked0.05RegularPlayfoot15
31:22Crystal PalaceQuinten Timber Blocked0.12RegularPlayfoot13
32:35LeedsJayden Bogle Blocked0.02FromCornerfoot21
33:13LeedsAo Tanaka Missed0.03RegularPlayfoot24
41:23LeedsNico Elvedi Saved0.27FromCornerfoot9
48:06Crystal PalaceYéremy Pino Saved0.10DirectFreekickfoot19
48:43Crystal PalaceJefferson Lerma Missed0.28FromCornerfoot4
49:20Crystal PalaceDaichi Kamada Missed0.03RegularPlayfoot22
54:26Crystal PalaceJørgen Strand Larsen Saved0.04RegularPlayfoot22
55:57LeedsDominic Calvert-Lewin Saved0.23RegularPlayfoot8
56:34LeedsTarik Muharemovic Missed0.11ThrowinSetPiecehead7
70:06Crystal PalaceYéremy Pino Missed0.02RegularPlayfoot27
74:33LeedsNoah Okafor Missed0.02ThrowinSetPiecefoot23
79:20Crystal PalaceAdam Wharton Blocked0.06RegularPlayfoot20
84:20Crystal PalaceDaichi Kamada Missed0.09ThrowinSetPiecehead7
86:51LeedsTarik Muharemovic Blocked0.06ThrowinSetPiecefoot13

Match statistics

LeedsCrystal Palace
Corners43
Shots1312
Shots on target24
Shots off target55
Total passes424424
Pass accuracy %80.280.4
Fouls committed1012
Total yellow cards23

Counts of the events in the match feed whose definitions the project has checked against a second source.