Man City 5–3 Sunderland

2026-09-20 14:00, Etihad Stadium. Half time 3–2. Enzo Fernández 8', Rayan Cherki 28', Antoine Semenyo 42', Antoine Semenyo 56', Erling Haaland 80'; Brian Brobbey 11', Brian Brobbey 32', Brian Brobbey 58'

2026-09-20 14:00
Man City
5–3
Sunderland
2.4
expected goals
-0.5 to Man City
2.9

Man City won with 2.4 expected goals to 2.9: the result went against the performance.

16Shots17
1.83Expected goals from open play1.22
0.54From set pieces1.65
2.37Excluding penalties2.86
1.83As the rating counts them1.93
1.1Points the chances deserved1.7

Rating brought into the match, expected goals a match as the rating counts them: Man City creates 1.80 and allows 0.99; Sunderland creates 0.93 and allows 1.28.

The result the chances deserved

From the two sides' shots taken together: Man City win 29 per cent, draw 21, Sunderland win 50. Man City deserved 1.1 points and took 3; Sunderland deserved 1.7 and took 0.

Each shot scores with its own probability, independently; two shots in one passage of play both count although only one could have scored, so a match with rebounds is slightly overstated.

Where the chances were

Man City attack this way →← Sunderland attack this wayNilson Angulo 5': 0.09 expected goalsNordi Mukiele 6': 0.05 expected goalsEnzo Fernández 8': 0.04 expected goals, GOALDayann Méthalie 10': 0.03 expected goalsBrian Brobbey 11': 0.44 expected goals, GOALElliot Anderson 19': 0.02 expected goalsErling Haaland 27': 0.08 expected goalsRayan Cherki 28': 0.14 expected goals, GOALBrian Brobbey 32': 0.39 expected goals, GOALMarc Guéhi 42': 0.10 expected goalsAntoine Semenyo 42': 0.10 expected goals, GOALErling Haaland 44': 0.16 expected goalsNoah Sadiki 47': 0.03 expected goalsBrian Brobbey 49': 0.03 expected goalsKevin Danso 50': 0.07 expected goalsAntoine Semenyo 56': 0.05 expected goals, GOALNilson Angulo 58': 0.27 expected goalsBrian Brobbey 58': 0.82 expected goals, GOALIliman Ndiaye 62': 0.02 expected goalsRúben Dias 63': 0.24 expected goalsRayan Cherki 65': 0.08 expected goalsDan Ballard 69': 0.02 expected goalsMalick Fofana 69': 0.08 expected goalsBrian Brobbey 69': 0.14 expected goalsIliman Ndiaye 72': 0.06 expected goalsJérémy Doku 77': 0.21 expected goalsMalick Fofana 80': 0.04 expected goalsErling Haaland 80': 0.59 expected goals, GOALNico O'Reilly 85': 0.45 expected goalsErling Haaland 86': 0.03 expected goalsDan Ballard 89': 0.17 expected goalsTrai Hume 90': 0.07 expected goalsMalick Fofana 93': 0.11 expected goals

One mark per shot, larger for a better chance; filled marks are goals. Hover a mark for the player and the chance.

How the match built up

0.001.002.0001122334455667788MinuteMan City: 0Man City, 8': Enzo Fernández, 0.04 expected goals, GOALMan City, 19': Elliot Anderson, 0.02 expected goalsMan City, 27': Erling Haaland, 0.08 expected goalsMan City, 28': Rayan Cherki, 0.14 expected goals, GOALMan City, 42': Marc Guéhi, 0.10 expected goalsMan City, 42': Antoine Semenyo, 0.10 expected goals, GOALMan City, 44': Erling Haaland, 0.16 expected goalsMan City, 56': Antoine Semenyo, 0.05 expected goals, GOALMan City, 62': Iliman Ndiaye, 0.02 expected goalsMan City, 63': Rúben Dias, 0.24 expected goalsMan City, 65': Rayan Cherki, 0.08 expected goalsMan City, 72': Iliman Ndiaye, 0.06 expected goalsMan City, 77': Jérémy Doku, 0.21 expected goalsMan City, 80': Erling Haaland, 0.59 expected goals, GOALMan City, 85': Nico O'Reilly, 0.45 expected goalsMan City, 86': Erling Haaland, 0.03 expected goalsMan City: 2.37Sunderland: 0Sunderland, 5': Nilson Angulo, 0.09 expected goalsSunderland, 6': Nordi Mukiele, 0.05 expected goalsSunderland, 10': Dayann Méthalie, 0.03 expected goalsSunderland, 11': Brian Brobbey, 0.44 expected goals, GOALSunderland, 32': Brian Brobbey, 0.39 expected goals, GOALSunderland, 47': Noah Sadiki, 0.03 expected goalsSunderland, 49': Brian Brobbey, 0.03 expected goalsSunderland, 50': Kevin Danso, 0.07 expected goalsSunderland, 58': Nilson Angulo, 0.27 expected goalsSunderland, 58': Brian Brobbey, 0.82 expected goals, GOALSunderland, 69': Dan Ballard, 0.02 expected goalsSunderland, 69': Malick Fofana, 0.08 expected goalsSunderland, 69': Brian Brobbey, 0.14 expected goalsSunderland, 80': Malick Fofana, 0.04 expected goalsSunderland, 89': Dan Ballard, 0.17 expected goalsSunderland, 90': Trai Hume, 0.07 expected goalsSunderland, 93': Malick Fofana, 0.11 expected goalsSunderland: 2.86Man CitySunderlandGOAL Enzo Fernández 8'GOAL Brian Brobbey 11'GOAL Rayan Cherki 28'GOAL Brian Brobbey 32'GOAL Antoine Semenyo 42'GOAL Antoine Semenyo 56'GOAL Brian Brobbey 58'GOAL Erling Haaland 80'

Expected goals added up through the match; the rings are goals.

Expected goals, three ways

Expected goalsMan CitySunderland
In full2.372.86
Excluding penalties2.372.86
As the rating counts them1.831.93

In full, every chance counts at its value. What the numbers mean says how the rating counts a chance.

Where each side's chances came from

Expected goals fromMan CitySunderland
Open play1.831.22
of which counter-attacks0.370.00
Set pieces0.541.65
Penalties0.000.00
Headers0.240.27
Inside the box2.242.77
Shots1617
Expected goals a shot0.150.17

Every shot

MinSidePlayerResultxGPlayBodyMetres
5:42SunderlandNilson Angulo Missed0.09RegularPlayfoot13
6:44SunderlandNordi Mukiele Blocked0.05RegularPlayfoot18
8:52Man CityEnzo Fernández Goal0.04DirectFreekickfoot26
10:33SunderlandDayann Méthalie Blocked0.03RegularPlayfoot27
11:14SunderlandBrian Brobbey Goal0.44RegularPlayfoot8
19:37Man CityElliot Anderson Missed0.02FromCornerfoot24
27:59Man CityErling Haaland Missed0.08RegularPlayfoot9
28:55Man CityRayan Cherki Goal0.14RegularPlayfoot13
32:36SunderlandBrian Brobbey Goal0.39RegularPlayfoot7
42:37Man CityMarc Guéhi Blocked0.10FromCornerfoot12
42:40Man CityAntoine Semenyo Goal0.10FromCornerfoot14
44:39Man CityErling Haaland Missed0.16FastBreakfoot14
47:08SunderlandNoah Sadiki Missed0.03RegularPlayfoot22
49:31SunderlandBrian Brobbey Saved0.03RegularPlayfoot24
50:08SunderlandKevin Danso Saved0.07FromCornerhead9
56:07Man CityAntoine Semenyo Goal0.05RegularPlayfoot17
58:41SunderlandNilson Angulo Saved0.27SetPiecefoot7
58:43SunderlandBrian Brobbey Goal0.82SetPiecefoot3
62:18Man CityIliman Ndiaye Blocked0.02RegularPlayfoot27
63:15Man CityRúben Dias Missed0.24FromCornerhead4
65:03Man CityRayan Cherki Missed0.08RegularPlayfoot14
69:14SunderlandDan Ballard Missed0.02SetPiecehead14
69:49SunderlandMalick Fofana Saved0.08ThrowinSetPiecefoot11
69:50SunderlandBrian Brobbey Missed0.14ThrowinSetPiecefoot8
72:12Man CityIliman Ndiaye Blocked0.06RegularPlayfoot18
77:29Man CityJérémy Doku Blocked0.21FastBreakfoot13
80:04SunderlandMalick Fofana Saved0.04RegularPlayfoot22
80:58Man CityErling Haaland Goal0.59RegularPlayfoot4
85:18Man CityNico O'Reilly Saved0.45RegularPlayfoot9
86:11Man CityErling Haaland Blocked0.03FromCornerfoot18
89:49SunderlandDan Ballard Blocked0.17SetPiecefoot8
90:24SunderlandTrai Hume Missed0.07FromCornerhead8
93:59SunderlandMalick Fofana Saved0.11RegularPlayhead8

Match statistics

Man CitySunderland
Corners65
Shots1617
Shots on target69
Shots off target55
Total passes475388
Pass accuracy %85.581.4
Fouls committed1414
Total yellow cards01

Counts of the events in the match feed whose definitions the project has checked against a second source.