Newcastle 2–2 Bournemouth

2026-09-05 12:30, St. James' Park. Half time 1–2. Harvey Barnes 36', Jacob Ramsey 87'; Marcus Tavernier 8', Malick Thiaw 34' (own goal)

2026-09-05 12:30
Newcastle
2–2
Bournemouth
0.8
expected goals
-0.7 to Newcastle
1.5

Bournemouth created more, 1.5 to 0.8 expected goals, and drew.

8Shots17
0.48Expected goals from open play1.33
0.30From set pieces0.16
0.79Excluding penalties1.49
0.73As the rating counts them1.09
0.8Points the chances deserved1.9

Rating brought into the match, expected goals a match as the rating counts them: Newcastle creates 1.31 and allows 1.26; Bournemouth creates 1.27 and allows 1.25.

The result the chances deserved

From the two sides' shots taken together: Newcastle win 17 per cent, draw 27, Bournemouth win 56. Newcastle deserved 0.8 points and took 1; Bournemouth deserved 1.9 and took 1.

Each shot scores with its own probability, independently; two shots in one passage of play both count although only one could have scored, so a match with rebounds is slightly overstated.

Where the chances were

Newcastle attack this way →← Bournemouth attack this wayMarcus Tavernier 3': 0.06 expected goalsAmar Dedic 7': 0.12 expected goalsAlex Scott 8': 0.07 expected goalsMarcus Tavernier 8': 0.47 expected goals, GOALEvanilson 11': 0.26 expected goalsAntónio Silva 14': 0.01 expected goalsMarcus Tavernier 15': 0.01 expected goalsEvanilson 16': 0.06 expected goalsMarcus Tavernier 25': 0.21 expected goalsAdam Smith 30': 0.01 expected goalsJustin Kluivert 30': 0.10 expected goalsAdrien Truffert 32': 0.02 expected goalsJustin Kluivert 34': 0.03 expected goalsHarvey Barnes 36': 0.04 expected goals, GOALJoe Willock 37': 0.02 expected goalsRayan 47': 0.04 expected goalsJoe Willock 51': 0.31 expected goalsEvanilson 51': 0.04 expected goalsLewis Hall 59': 0.04 expected goalsAlex Scott 61': 0.03 expected goalsMarcus Tavernier 83': 0.02 expected goalsHarvey Barnes 87': 0.16 expected goalsJacob Ramsey 87': 0.07 expected goals, GOALBen Gannon-Doak 91': 0.05 expected goalsAmar Dedic 95': 0.04 expected goals

One mark per shot, larger for a better chance; filled marks are goals. Hover a mark for the player and the chance.

How the match built up

0.000.501.0001122334455667788MinuteNewcastle: 0Newcastle, 7': Amar Dedic, 0.12 expected goalsNewcastle, 36': Harvey Barnes, 0.04 expected goals, GOALNewcastle, 37': Joe Willock, 0.02 expected goalsNewcastle, 51': Joe Willock, 0.31 expected goalsNewcastle, 59': Lewis Hall, 0.04 expected goalsNewcastle, 87': Harvey Barnes, 0.16 expected goalsNewcastle, 87': Jacob Ramsey, 0.07 expected goals, GOALNewcastle, 95': Amar Dedic, 0.04 expected goalsNewcastle: 0.79Bournemouth: 0Bournemouth, 3': Marcus Tavernier, 0.06 expected goalsBournemouth, 8': Alex Scott, 0.07 expected goalsBournemouth, 8': Marcus Tavernier, 0.47 expected goals, GOALBournemouth, 11': Evanilson, 0.26 expected goalsBournemouth, 14': António Silva, 0.01 expected goalsBournemouth, 15': Marcus Tavernier, 0.01 expected goalsBournemouth, 16': Evanilson, 0.06 expected goalsBournemouth, 25': Marcus Tavernier, 0.21 expected goalsBournemouth, 30': Adam Smith, 0.01 expected goalsBournemouth, 30': Justin Kluivert, 0.10 expected goalsBournemouth, 32': Adrien Truffert, 0.02 expected goalsBournemouth, 34': Justin Kluivert, 0.03 expected goalsBournemouth, 47': Rayan, 0.04 expected goalsBournemouth, 51': Evanilson, 0.04 expected goalsBournemouth, 61': Alex Scott, 0.03 expected goalsBournemouth, 83': Marcus Tavernier, 0.02 expected goalsBournemouth, 91': Ben Gannon-Doak, 0.05 expected goalsBournemouth: 1.49NewcastleBournemouthGOAL Marcus Tavernier 8'GOAL Harvey Barnes 36'GOAL Jacob Ramsey 87'

Expected goals added up through the match; the rings are goals.

Expected goals, three ways

Expected goalsNewcastleBournemouth
In full0.791.49
Excluding penalties0.791.49
As the rating counts them0.731.09

In full, every chance counts at its value. What the numbers mean says how the rating counts a chance.

Where each side's chances came from

Expected goals fromNewcastleBournemouth
Open play0.481.33
of which counter-attacks0.120.24
Set pieces0.300.16
Penalties0.000.00
Headers0.310.06
Inside the box0.691.15
Shots817
Expected goals a shot0.100.09

Every shot

MinSidePlayerResultxGPlayBodyMetres
3:19BournemouthMarcus Tavernier Saved0.06DirectFreekickfoot25
7:05NewcastleAmar Dedic Blocked0.12FastBreakfoot13
8:26BournemouthAlex Scott Blocked0.07RegularPlayfoot17
8:27BournemouthMarcus Tavernier Goal0.47RegularPlayfoot5
11:23BournemouthEvanilson Missed0.26RegularPlayfoot15
14:41BournemouthAntónio Silva Saved0.01ThrowinSetPiecehead13
15:45BournemouthMarcus Tavernier Saved0.01RegularPlayhead15
16:53BournemouthEvanilson Blocked0.06RegularPlayfoot15
25:28BournemouthMarcus Tavernier Saved0.21FastBreakfoot13
30:12BournemouthAdam Smith Blocked0.01RegularPlayfoot27
30:30BournemouthJustin Kluivert Blocked0.10RegularPlayfoot26
32:11BournemouthAdrien Truffert Blocked0.02FromCornerfoot26
34:29BournemouthJustin Kluivert Post0.03FastBreakfoot30
36:16NewcastleHarvey Barnes Goal0.04RegularPlayfoot22
37:59NewcastleJoe Willock Blocked0.02RegularPlayfoot30
47:14BournemouthRayan Missed0.04RegularPlayhead11
51:20NewcastleJoe Willock Missed0.31RegularPlayhead5
51:55BournemouthEvanilson Missed0.04RegularPlayfoot17
59:34NewcastleLewis Hall Missed0.04FromCornerfoot22
61:48BournemouthAlex Scott Blocked0.03RegularPlayfoot27
83:33BournemouthMarcus Tavernier Missed0.02SetPiecefoot28
87:36NewcastleHarvey Barnes Missed0.16SetPiecefoot10
87:38NewcastleJacob Ramsey Goal0.07SetPiecefoot15
91:31BournemouthBen Gannon-Doak Blocked0.05SetPiecefoot15
95:03NewcastleAmar Dedic Missed0.04DirectFreekickfoot27

Match statistics

NewcastleBournemouth
Corners43
Shots817
Shots on target25
Shots off target45
Total passes443328
Pass accuracy %81.576.5
Fouls committed1917
Total yellow cards23

Counts of the events in the match feed whose definitions the project has checked against a second source.