Crystal Palace 2–3 Ipswich

2026-09-12 15:00, Selhurst Park. Half time 1–2. Anan Khalaili 13', Jørgen Strand Larsen 74'; Emersonn 22', Leif Davis 44', Zian Flemming 89'

2026-09-12 15:00
Crystal Palace
2–3
Ipswich
0.8
expected goals
-1.0 to Crystal Palace
1.8

Ipswich created more, 1.8 to 0.8 expected goals, and won.

11Shots12
0.78Expected goals from open play1.70
0.03From set pieces0.08
0.81Excluding penalties1.78
0.78As the rating counts them1.36
0.7Points the chances deserved2.1

Rating brought into the match, expected goals a match as the rating counts them: Crystal Palace creates 1.17 and allows 1.30; Ipswich creates 0.94 and allows 1.45.

The result the chances deserved

From the two sides' shots taken together: Crystal Palace win 14 per cent, draw 23, Ipswich win 63. Crystal Palace deserved 0.7 points and took 0; Ipswich deserved 2.1 and took 3.

Each shot scores with its own probability, independently; two shots in one passage of play both count although only one could have scored, so a match with rebounds is slightly overstated.

Where the chances were

Crystal Palace attack this way →← Ipswich attack this wayAdam Wharton 10': 0.05 expected goalsAnan Khalaili 11': 0.04 expected goalsAnan Khalaili 13': 0.04 expected goals, GOALJørgen Strand Larsen 17': 0.12 expected goalsJørgen Strand Larsen 17': 0.04 expected goalsEmersonn 22': 0.20 expected goals, GOALJulio Enciso 32': 0.03 expected goalsEmersonn 44': 0.09 expected goalsLeif Davis 44': 0.32 expected goals, GOALEmersonn 50': 0.08 expected goalsJack Clarke 54': 0.19 expected goalsJulio Enciso 65': 0.04 expected goalsQuinten Timber 67': 0.06 expected goalsAnan Khalaili 70': 0.03 expected goalsQuinten Timber 73': 0.15 expected goalsJørgen Strand Larsen 74': 0.07 expected goals, GOALAnan Khalaili 78': 0.14 expected goalsJaden Philogene 81': 0.02 expected goalsZian Flemming 82': 0.08 expected goalsBen Chilwell 86': 0.06 expected goalsLeif Davis 89': 0.03 expected goalsZian Flemming 89': 0.51 expected goals, GOALZian Flemming 91': 0.20 expected goals

One mark per shot, larger for a better chance; filled marks are goals. Hover a mark for the player and the chance.

How the match built up

0.000.501.001.5001122334455667788MinuteCrystal Palace: 0Crystal Palace, 10': Adam Wharton, 0.05 expected goalsCrystal Palace, 11': Anan Khalaili, 0.04 expected goalsCrystal Palace, 13': Anan Khalaili, 0.04 expected goals, GOALCrystal Palace, 17': Jørgen Strand Larsen, 0.12 expected goalsCrystal Palace, 17': Jørgen Strand Larsen, 0.04 expected goalsCrystal Palace, 67': Quinten Timber, 0.06 expected goalsCrystal Palace, 70': Anan Khalaili, 0.03 expected goalsCrystal Palace, 73': Quinten Timber, 0.15 expected goalsCrystal Palace, 74': Jørgen Strand Larsen, 0.07 expected goals, GOALCrystal Palace, 78': Anan Khalaili, 0.14 expected goalsCrystal Palace, 86': Ben Chilwell, 0.06 expected goalsCrystal Palace: 0.81Ipswich: 0Ipswich, 22': Emersonn, 0.20 expected goals, GOALIpswich, 32': Julio Enciso, 0.03 expected goalsIpswich, 44': Emersonn, 0.09 expected goalsIpswich, 44': Leif Davis, 0.32 expected goals, GOALIpswich, 50': Emersonn, 0.08 expected goalsIpswich, 54': Jack Clarke, 0.19 expected goalsIpswich, 65': Julio Enciso, 0.04 expected goalsIpswich, 81': Jaden Philogene, 0.02 expected goalsIpswich, 82': Zian Flemming, 0.08 expected goalsIpswich, 89': Leif Davis, 0.03 expected goalsIpswich, 89': Zian Flemming, 0.51 expected goals, GOALIpswich, 91': Zian Flemming, 0.20 expected goalsIpswich: 1.78Crystal PalaceIpswichGOAL Anan Khalaili 13'GOAL Emersonn 22'GOAL Leif Davis 44'GOAL Jørgen Strand Larsen 74'GOAL Zian Flemming 89'

Expected goals added up through the match; the rings are goals.

Expected goals, three ways

Expected goalsCrystal PalaceIpswich
In full0.811.78
Excluding penalties0.811.78
As the rating counts them0.781.36

In full, every chance counts at its value. What the numbers mean says how the rating counts a chance.

Where each side's chances came from

Expected goals fromCrystal PalaceIpswich
Open play0.781.70
of which counter-attacks0.000.26
Set pieces0.030.08
Penalties0.000.00
Headers0.040.55
Inside the box0.631.50
Shots1112
Expected goals a shot0.070.15

Every shot

MinSidePlayerResultxGPlayBodyMetres
10:46Crystal PalaceAdam Wharton Missed0.05RegularPlayfoot30
11:54Crystal PalaceAnan Khalaili Missed0.04RegularPlayhead11
13:14Crystal PalaceAnan Khalaili Goal0.04RegularPlayfoot20
17:03Crystal PalaceJørgen Strand Larsen Saved0.12RegularPlayfoot24
17:05Crystal PalaceJørgen Strand Larsen Blocked0.04RegularPlayfoot18
22:29IpswichEmersonn Goal0.20RegularPlayhead7
32:41IpswichJulio Enciso Missed0.03FastBreakfoot29
44:33IpswichEmersonn Missed0.09RegularPlayother10
44:35IpswichLeif Davis Goal0.32RegularPlayhead6
50:38IpswichEmersonn Missed0.08RegularPlayfoot17
54:20IpswichJack Clarke Saved0.19FastBreakfoot13
65:19IpswichJulio Enciso Blocked0.04FastBreakfoot25
67:12Crystal PalaceQuinten Timber Missed0.06RegularPlayfoot14
70:53Crystal PalaceAnan Khalaili Missed0.03ThrowinSetPiecefoot17
73:09Crystal PalaceQuinten Timber Saved0.15RegularPlayfoot14
74:51Crystal PalaceJørgen Strand Larsen Goal0.07RegularPlayfoot16
78:12Crystal PalaceAnan Khalaili Missed0.14RegularPlayfoot10
81:16IpswichJaden Philogene Saved0.02RegularPlayfoot28
82:52IpswichZian Flemming Missed0.08FromCornerfoot9
86:17Crystal PalaceBen Chilwell Missed0.06RegularPlayfoot13
89:04IpswichLeif Davis Post0.03RegularPlayhead12
89:07IpswichZian Flemming Goal0.51RegularPlayfoot5
91:49IpswichZian Flemming Saved0.20RegularPlayfoot20

Match statistics

Crystal PalaceIpswich
Corners63
Shots1112
Shots on target46
Shots off target65
Total passes388445
Pass accuracy %80.982.0
Fouls committed616
Total yellow cards13

Counts of the events in the match feed whose definitions the project has checked against a second source.