Liverpool 0–3 Man City

2026-10-11 16:30, Anfield. Half time 0–0. Erling Haaland 64', Jérémy Doku 67', Rayan Cherki 77'

2026-10-11 16:30
Liverpool
0–3
Man City
1.5
expected goals
+0.3 to Liverpool
1.2

Man City won a match that was close on chances, 1.2 to 1.5 expected goals.

13Shots15
0.61Expected goals from open play1.12
0.88From set pieces0.10
1.49Excluding penalties1.23
0.87As the rating counts them1.15
1.6Points the chances deserved1.1

Rating brought into the match, expected goals a match as the rating counts them: Liverpool creates 1.57 and allows 1.13; Man City creates 1.83 and allows 1.02.

The result the chances deserved

From the two sides' shots taken together: Liverpool win 44 per cent, draw 28, Man City win 29. Liverpool deserved 1.6 points and took 0; Man City deserved 1.1 and took 3.

Each shot scores with its own probability, independently; two shots in one passage of play both count although only one could have scored, so a match with rebounds is slightly overstated.

Where the chances were

Liverpool attack this way →← Man City attack this wayVíctor Muñoz 1': 0.07 expected goalsJérémy Jacquet 20': 0.63 expected goalsAlexis Mac Allister 31': 0.07 expected goalsVíctor Muñoz 32': 0.02 expected goalsEnzo Fernández 34': 0.03 expected goalsRayan Cherki 37': 0.05 expected goalsAntoine Semenyo 39': 0.02 expected goalsFlorian Wirtz 45': 0.04 expected goalsLewis Koumas 47': 0.24 expected goalsBradley Barcola 47': 0.08 expected goalsRyan Gravenberch 48': 0.02 expected goalsAlexis Mac Allister 48': 0.03 expected goalsFlorian Wirtz 54': 0.09 expected goalsAlexis Mac Allister 58': 0.11 expected goalsErling Haaland 59': 0.18 expected goalsRyan Gravenberch 61': 0.03 expected goalsJérémy Doku 64': 0.06 expected goalsErling Haaland 64': 0.16 expected goals, GOALJérémy Doku 67': 0.06 expected goals, GOALRayan Cherki 69': 0.05 expected goalsElliot Anderson 71': 0.03 expected goalsJosko Gvardiol 73': 0.06 expected goalsRayan Cherki 77': 0.33 expected goals, GOALAlexis Mac Allister 86': 0.07 expected goalsRayan Cherki 88': 0.05 expected goalsAyyoub Bouaddi 88': 0.04 expected goalsRayan Cherki 92': 0.04 expected goalsElliot Anderson 93': 0.08 expected goals

One mark per shot, larger for a better chance; filled marks are goals. Hover a mark for the player and the chance.

How the match built up

0.000.501.0001122334455667788MinuteLiverpool: 0Liverpool, 1': Víctor Muñoz, 0.07 expected goalsLiverpool, 20': Jérémy Jacquet, 0.63 expected goalsLiverpool, 31': Alexis Mac Allister, 0.07 expected goalsLiverpool, 32': Víctor Muñoz, 0.02 expected goalsLiverpool, 45': Florian Wirtz, 0.04 expected goalsLiverpool, 47': Lewis Koumas, 0.24 expected goalsLiverpool, 47': Bradley Barcola, 0.08 expected goalsLiverpool, 48': Ryan Gravenberch, 0.02 expected goalsLiverpool, 48': Alexis Mac Allister, 0.03 expected goalsLiverpool, 54': Florian Wirtz, 0.09 expected goalsLiverpool, 58': Alexis Mac Allister, 0.11 expected goalsLiverpool, 61': Ryan Gravenberch, 0.03 expected goalsLiverpool, 86': Alexis Mac Allister, 0.07 expected goalsLiverpool: 1.49Man City: 0Man City, 34': Enzo Fernández, 0.03 expected goalsMan City, 37': Rayan Cherki, 0.05 expected goalsMan City, 39': Antoine Semenyo, 0.02 expected goalsMan City, 59': Erling Haaland, 0.18 expected goalsMan City, 64': Jérémy Doku, 0.06 expected goalsMan City, 64': Erling Haaland, 0.16 expected goals, GOALMan City, 67': Jérémy Doku, 0.06 expected goals, GOALMan City, 69': Rayan Cherki, 0.05 expected goalsMan City, 71': Elliot Anderson, 0.03 expected goalsMan City, 73': Josko Gvardiol, 0.06 expected goalsMan City, 77': Rayan Cherki, 0.33 expected goals, GOALMan City, 88': Rayan Cherki, 0.05 expected goalsMan City, 88': Ayyoub Bouaddi, 0.04 expected goalsMan City, 92': Rayan Cherki, 0.04 expected goalsMan City, 93': Elliot Anderson, 0.08 expected goalsMan City: 1.23LiverpoolMan CityGOAL Erling Haaland 64'GOAL Jérémy Doku 67'GOAL Rayan Cherki 77'

Expected goals added up through the match; the rings are goals.

Expected goals, three ways

Expected goalsLiverpoolMan City
In full1.491.23
Excluding penalties1.491.23
As the rating counts them0.871.15

In full, every chance counts at its value. What the numbers mean says how the rating counts a chance.

Where each side's chances came from

Expected goals fromLiverpoolMan City
Open play0.611.12
of which counter-attacks0.090.00
Set pieces0.880.10
Penalties0.000.00
Headers0.070.00
Inside the box1.200.93
Shots1315
Expected goals a shot0.110.08

Every shot

MinSidePlayerResultxGPlayBodyMetres
1:28LiverpoolVíctor Muñoz Blocked0.07RegularPlayfoot18
20:11LiverpoolJérémy Jacquet Saved0.63FromCornerfoot4
31:09LiverpoolAlexis Mac Allister Blocked0.07FromCornerhead8
32:19LiverpoolVíctor Muñoz Saved0.02RegularPlayfoot27
34:26Man CityEnzo Fernández Saved0.03RegularPlayfoot25
37:36Man CityRayan Cherki Missed0.05RegularPlayfoot16
39:03Man CityAntoine Semenyo Missed0.02RegularPlayfoot27
45:32LiverpoolFlorian Wirtz Blocked0.04RegularPlayfoot21
47:44LiverpoolLewis Koumas Saved0.24RegularPlayfoot16
47:47LiverpoolBradley Barcola Blocked0.08RegularPlayfoot16
48:26LiverpoolRyan Gravenberch Saved0.02RegularPlayfoot29
48:35LiverpoolAlexis Mac Allister Missed0.03RegularPlayfoot25
54:46LiverpoolFlorian Wirtz Missed0.09FastBreakfoot20
58:48LiverpoolAlexis Mac Allister Missed0.11SetPiecefoot9
59:47Man CityErling Haaland Missed0.18RegularPlayfoot15
61:24LiverpoolRyan Gravenberch Saved0.03RegularPlayfoot24
64:17Man CityJérémy Doku Blocked0.06RegularPlayfoot18
64:19Man CityErling Haaland Goal0.16RegularPlayfoot11
67:38Man CityJérémy Doku Goal0.06RegularPlayfoot19
69:35Man CityRayan Cherki Blocked0.05RegularPlayfoot20
71:23Man CityElliot Anderson Missed0.03FromCornerfoot19
73:47Man CityJosko Gvardiol Missed0.06RegularPlayfoot16
77:42Man CityRayan Cherki Goal0.33RegularPlayfoot8
86:53LiverpoolAlexis Mac Allister Saved0.07DirectFreekickfoot23
88:16Man CityRayan Cherki Blocked0.05RegularPlayfoot19
88:18Man CityAyyoub Bouaddi Missed0.04RegularPlayfoot20
92:19Man CityRayan Cherki Blocked0.04RegularPlayfoot20
93:00Man CityElliot Anderson Missed0.08FromCornerfoot21

Match statistics

LiverpoolMan City
Corners56
Shots1315
Shots on target64
Shots off target37
Total passes301562
Pass accuracy %79.788.4
Fouls committed1914
Total yellow cards32

Counts of the events in the match feed whose definitions the project has checked against a second source.