Sunderland 0–2 Brighton

2026-10-10 15:00, Stadium of Light. Half time 0–0. Maxim De Cuyper 52', Jaouen Hadjam 92'

2026-10-10 15:00
0.7
expected goals
-0.3 to Sunderland
1.0

Brighton won a match that was close on chances, 1.0 to 0.7 expected goals.

12Shots13
0.55Expected goals from open play0.61
0.19From set pieces0.41
0.74Excluding penalties1.02
0.74As the rating counts them0.88
1.1Points the chances deserved1.6

Rating brought into the match, expected goals a match as the rating counts them: Sunderland creates 0.96 and allows 1.32; Brighton creates 1.35 and allows 1.18.

The result the chances deserved

From the two sides' shots taken together: Sunderland win 25 per cent, draw 33, Brighton win 42. Sunderland deserved 1.1 points and took 0; Brighton deserved 1.6 and took 3.

Each shot scores with its own probability, independently; two shots in one passage of play both count although only one could have scored, so a match with rebounds is slightly overstated.

Where the chances were

Sunderland attack this way →← Brighton attack this wayKevin Danso 6': 0.11 expected goalsDiego Gómez 7': 0.21 expected goalsLuka Vuskovic 9': 0.17 expected goalsYasin Ayari 10': 0.03 expected goalsDiego Gómez 11': 0.03 expected goalsCharalampos Kostoulas 19': 0.02 expected goalsWilson Isidor 21': 0.18 expected goalsThomas Meunier 28': 0.18 expected goalsNordi Mukiele 38': 0.01 expected goalsDiego Gómez 45': 0.06 expected goalsPascal Struijk 47': 0.07 expected goalsMaxim De Cuyper 52': 0.06 expected goals, GOALGranit Xhaka 58': 0.05 expected goalsDiego Gómez 61': 0.00 expected goalsGranit Xhaka 64': 0.02 expected goalsMalick Fofana 66': 0.03 expected goalsYasin Ayari 70': 0.04 expected goalsGranit Xhaka 71': 0.02 expected goalsNordi Mukiele 73': 0.03 expected goalsWilson Isidor 74': 0.04 expected goalsLuka Vuskovic 75': 0.07 expected goalsPascal Groß 77': 0.00 expected goalsNordi Mukiele 77': 0.04 expected goalsEnzo Le Fée 79': 0.03 expected goalsJaouen Hadjam 92': 0.25 expected goals, GOAL

One mark per shot, larger for a better chance; filled marks are goals. Hover a mark for the player and the chance.

How the match built up

0.000.250.500.751.0001122334455667788MinuteSunderland: 0Sunderland, 6': Kevin Danso, 0.11 expected goalsSunderland, 21': Wilson Isidor, 0.18 expected goalsSunderland, 28': Thomas Meunier, 0.18 expected goalsSunderland, 38': Nordi Mukiele, 0.01 expected goalsSunderland, 58': Granit Xhaka, 0.05 expected goalsSunderland, 64': Granit Xhaka, 0.02 expected goalsSunderland, 66': Malick Fofana, 0.03 expected goalsSunderland, 71': Granit Xhaka, 0.02 expected goalsSunderland, 73': Nordi Mukiele, 0.03 expected goalsSunderland, 74': Wilson Isidor, 0.04 expected goalsSunderland, 77': Nordi Mukiele, 0.04 expected goalsSunderland, 79': Enzo Le Fée, 0.03 expected goalsSunderland: 0.74Brighton: 0Brighton, 7': Diego Gómez, 0.21 expected goalsBrighton, 9': Luka Vuskovic, 0.17 expected goalsBrighton, 10': Yasin Ayari, 0.03 expected goalsBrighton, 11': Diego Gómez, 0.03 expected goalsBrighton, 19': Charalampos Kostoulas, 0.02 expected goalsBrighton, 45': Diego Gómez, 0.06 expected goalsBrighton, 47': Pascal Struijk, 0.07 expected goalsBrighton, 52': Maxim De Cuyper, 0.06 expected goals, GOALBrighton, 61': Diego Gómez, 0.00 expected goalsBrighton, 70': Yasin Ayari, 0.04 expected goalsBrighton, 75': Luka Vuskovic, 0.07 expected goalsBrighton, 77': Pascal Groß, 0.00 expected goalsBrighton, 92': Jaouen Hadjam, 0.25 expected goals, GOALBrighton: 1.02SunderlandBrightonGOAL Maxim De Cuyper 52'GOAL Jaouen Hadjam 92'

Expected goals added up through the match; the rings are goals.

Expected goals, three ways

Expected goalsSunderlandBrighton
In full0.741.02
Excluding penalties0.741.02
As the rating counts them0.740.88

In full, every chance counts at its value. What the numbers mean says how the rating counts a chance.

Where each side's chances came from

Expected goals fromSunderlandBrighton
Open play0.550.61
of which counter-attacks0.000.29
Set pieces0.190.41
Penalties0.000.00
Headers0.000.25
Inside the box0.500.84
Shots1213
Expected goals a shot0.060.08

Every shot

MinSidePlayerResultxGPlayBodyMetres
6:17SunderlandKevin Danso Blocked0.11FromCornerother5
7:13BrightonDiego Gómez Saved0.21RegularPlayfoot20
9:30BrightonLuka Vuskovic Missed0.17FromCornerhead5
10:39BrightonYasin Ayari Missed0.03ThrowinSetPiecefoot18
11:21BrightonDiego Gómez Blocked0.03RegularPlayfoot24
19:57BrightonCharalampos Kostoulas Blocked0.02RegularPlayfoot29
21:06SunderlandWilson Isidor Blocked0.18RegularPlayfoot8
28:55SunderlandThomas Meunier Blocked0.18RegularPlayfoot12
38:40SunderlandNordi Mukiele Saved0.01RegularPlayfoot31
45:50BrightonDiego Gómez Saved0.06RegularPlayfoot29
47:12BrightonPascal Struijk Post0.07SetPiecehead9
52:42BrightonMaxim De Cuyper Goal0.06ThrowinSetPiecefoot15
58:33SunderlandGranit Xhaka Saved0.05DirectFreekickfoot26
61:00BrightonDiego Gómez Missed0.00FastBreakfoot66
64:45SunderlandGranit Xhaka Missed0.02RegularPlayfoot28
66:16SunderlandMalick Fofana Saved0.03RegularPlayfoot23
70:52BrightonYasin Ayari Missed0.04FastBreakfoot26
71:38SunderlandGranit Xhaka Missed0.02RegularPlayfoot27
73:20SunderlandNordi Mukiele Blocked0.03RegularPlayfoot24
74:30SunderlandWilson Isidor Blocked0.04RegularPlayfoot19
75:45BrightonLuka Vuskovic Missed0.07FromCornerfoot12
77:01BrightonPascal Groß Missed0.00FastBreakfoot53
77:41SunderlandNordi Mukiele Blocked0.04RegularPlayfoot23
79:52SunderlandEnzo Le Fée Blocked0.03SetPiecefoot22
92:32BrightonJaouen Hadjam Goal0.25FastBreakfoot15

Match statistics

SunderlandBrighton
Corners75
Shots1213
Shots on target34
Shots off target27
Total passes501309
Pass accuracy %77.467.3
Fouls committed812
Total yellow cards01

Counts of the events in the match feed whose definitions the project has checked against a second source.