Fulham 1–0 Hull

2026-10-17 16:00, Craven Cottage. Half time 1–0. Alex Iwobi 32'

2026-10-17 16:00
Fulham
1–0
Hull
1.9
expected goals
+1.7 to Fulham
0.2

Fulham created more, 1.9 to 0.2 expected goals, and won.

18Shots5
1.57Expected goals from open play0.09
0.32From set pieces0.06
1.88Excluding penalties0.16
1.53As the rating counts them0.16
2.6Points the chances deserved0.2

Rating brought into the match, expected goals a match as the rating counts them: Fulham creates 1.10 and allows 1.25; Hull creates 0.81 and allows 1.63.

The result the chances deserved

From the two sides' shots taken together: Fulham win 83 per cent, draw 15, Hull win 2. Fulham deserved 2.6 points and took 3; Hull deserved 0.2 and took 0.

Each shot scores with its own probability, independently; two shots in one passage of play both count although only one could have scored, so a match with rebounds is slightly overstated.

Where the chances were

Fulham attack this way →← Hull attack this wayAlex Iwobi 2': 0.03 expected goalsOscar Bobb 6': 0.06 expected goalsJosh King 15': 0.05 expected goalsOscar Bobb 22': 0.05 expected goalsSander Berge 24': 0.05 expected goalsMohamed Belloumi 25': 0.03 expected goalsAlex Iwobi 32': 0.24 expected goals, GOALCalvin Bassey 38': 0.17 expected goalsOscar Bobb 39': 0.12 expected goalsAlex Iwobi 40': 0.02 expected goalsJosh King 41': 0.04 expected goalsRegan Slater 42': 0.03 expected goalsJosh King 52': 0.34 expected goalsAlex Iwobi 57': 0.21 expected goalsLewie Coyle 60': 0.03 expected goalsAlex Iwobi 69': 0.02 expected goalsShea Charles 72': 0.02 expected goalsGonzalo García 73': 0.27 expected goalsOscar Bobb 73': 0.07 expected goalsOscar Bobb 77': 0.03 expected goalsMohamed Belloumi 78': 0.03 expected goalsMohamed Belloumi 90': 0.03 expected goalsTom Cairney 92': 0.09 expected goals

One mark per shot, larger for a better chance; filled marks are goals. Hover a mark for the player and the chance.

How the match built up

0.000.501.001.5001122334455667788MinuteFulham: 0Fulham, 2': Alex Iwobi, 0.03 expected goalsFulham, 6': Oscar Bobb, 0.06 expected goalsFulham, 15': Josh King, 0.05 expected goalsFulham, 22': Oscar Bobb, 0.05 expected goalsFulham, 24': Sander Berge, 0.05 expected goalsFulham, 32': Alex Iwobi, 0.24 expected goals, GOALFulham, 38': Calvin Bassey, 0.17 expected goalsFulham, 39': Oscar Bobb, 0.12 expected goalsFulham, 40': Alex Iwobi, 0.02 expected goalsFulham, 41': Josh King, 0.04 expected goalsFulham, 52': Josh King, 0.34 expected goalsFulham, 57': Alex Iwobi, 0.21 expected goalsFulham, 69': Alex Iwobi, 0.02 expected goalsFulham, 72': Shea Charles, 0.02 expected goalsFulham, 73': Gonzalo García, 0.27 expected goalsFulham, 73': Oscar Bobb, 0.07 expected goalsFulham, 77': Oscar Bobb, 0.03 expected goalsFulham, 92': Tom Cairney, 0.09 expected goalsFulham: 1.88Hull: 0Hull, 25': Mohamed Belloumi, 0.03 expected goalsHull, 42': Regan Slater, 0.03 expected goalsHull, 60': Lewie Coyle, 0.03 expected goalsHull, 78': Mohamed Belloumi, 0.03 expected goalsHull, 90': Mohamed Belloumi, 0.03 expected goalsHull: 0.16FulhamHullGOAL Alex Iwobi 32'

Expected goals added up through the match; the rings are goals.

Expected goals, three ways

Expected goalsFulhamHull
In full1.880.16
Excluding penalties1.880.16
As the rating counts them1.530.16

In full, every chance counts at its value. What the numbers mean says how the rating counts a chance.

Where each side's chances came from

Expected goals fromFulhamHull
Open play1.570.09
of which counter-attacks0.210.00
Set pieces0.320.06
Penalties0.000.00
Headers0.440.00
Inside the box1.670.03
Shots185
Expected goals a shot0.100.03

Every shot

MinSidePlayerResultxGPlayBodyMetres
2:33FulhamAlex Iwobi Blocked0.03RegularPlayfoot22
6:10FulhamOscar Bobb Blocked0.06FromCornerfoot16
15:33FulhamJosh King Blocked0.05RegularPlayfoot17
22:18FulhamOscar Bobb Saved0.05DirectFreekickfoot24
24:36FulhamSander Berge Blocked0.05RegularPlayfoot17
25:51HullMohamed Belloumi Blocked0.03RegularPlayfoot23
32:36FulhamAlex Iwobi Goal0.24RegularPlayfoot18
38:58FulhamCalvin Bassey Missed0.17FromCornerhead6
39:36FulhamOscar Bobb Blocked0.12FastBreakfoot15
40:15FulhamAlex Iwobi Missed0.02FromCornerfoot20
41:34FulhamJosh King Saved0.04RegularPlayfoot17
42:57HullRegan Slater Missed0.03ThrowinSetPiecefoot21
52:56FulhamJosh King Saved0.34RegularPlayfoot14
57:36FulhamAlex Iwobi Saved0.21RegularPlayfoot10
60:12HullLewie Coyle Missed0.03RegularPlayfoot21
69:08FulhamAlex Iwobi Missed0.02RegularPlayfoot28
72:42FulhamShea Charles Blocked0.02FromCornerfoot27
73:12FulhamGonzalo García Post0.27RegularPlayhead6
73:15FulhamOscar Bobb Missed0.07RegularPlayfoot15
77:01FulhamOscar Bobb Missed0.03RegularPlayfoot24
78:15HullMohamed Belloumi Missed0.03RegularPlayfoot28
90:16HullMohamed Belloumi Missed0.03DirectFreekickfoot31
92:06FulhamTom Cairney Saved0.09FastBreakfoot23

Match statistics

FulhamHull
Corners112
Shots185
Shots on target60
Shots off target64
Total passes717218
Pass accuracy %91.163.8
Fouls committed1311
Total yellow cards22

Counts of the events in the match feed whose definitions the project has checked against a second source.