Tottenham 3–1 Coventry

2026-10-19 20:00, Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. Half time 1–0. James Maddison 13', Omar Marmoush 57', Ben Davies 95'; Jack Rudoni 48'

2026-10-19 20:00
Tottenham
3–1
Coventry
1.3
expected goals
+0.2 to Tottenham
1.1

Tottenham won a match that was close on chances, 1.3 to 1.1 expected goals.

16Shots12
1.18Expected goals from open play0.94
0.11From set pieces0.11
1.29Excluding penalties1.05
1.15As the rating counts them1.04
1.5Points the chances deserved1.2

Rating brought into the match, expected goals a match as the rating counts them: Tottenham creates 1.22 and allows 1.32; Coventry creates 0.97 and allows 1.45.

The result the chances deserved

From the two sides' shots taken together: Tottenham win 42 per cent, draw 29, Coventry win 29. Tottenham deserved 1.5 points and took 3; Coventry deserved 1.2 and took 0.

Each shot scores with its own probability, independently; two shots in one passage of play both count although only one could have scored, so a match with rebounds is slightly overstated.

Where the chances were

Tottenham attack this way →← Coventry attack this wayBrandon Thomas-Asante 0': 0.05 expected goalsBrandon Thomas-Asante 7': 0.08 expected goalsTatsuhiro Sakamoto 9': 0.13 expected goalsDominic Solanke 11': 0.06 expected goalsJames Maddison 13': 0.04 expected goals, GOALArchie Gray 15': 0.12 expected goalsSidiki Cherif 35': 0.02 expected goalsJames Maddison 38': 0.03 expected goalsDominic Solanke 38': 0.27 expected goalsJack Rudoni 48': 0.05 expected goalsJack Rudoni 48': 0.24 expected goals, GOALMicky van de Ven 51': 0.04 expected goalsSandro Tonali 51': 0.07 expected goalsOmar Marmoush 53': 0.02 expected goalsSandro Tonali 54': 0.03 expected goalsOmar Marmoush 57': 0.04 expected goals, GOALMohammed Kudus 61': 0.02 expected goalsDominic Solanke 63': 0.18 expected goalsTaiwo Awoniyi 66': 0.07 expected goalsBobby Thomas 67': 0.08 expected goalsEthan Pinnock 71': 0.01 expected goalsMohammed Kudus 79': 0.03 expected goalsMateus Fernandes 81': 0.03 expected goalsTaiwo Awoniyi 84': 0.04 expected goalsBobby Thomas 89': 0.03 expected goalsTaiwo Awoniyi 91': 0.26 expected goalsMathys Tel 91': 0.04 expected goalsBen Davies 95': 0.26 expected goals, GOAL

One mark per shot, larger for a better chance; filled marks are goals. Hover a mark for the player and the chance.

How the match built up

0.000.501.0001122334455667788MinuteTottenham: 0Tottenham, 11': Dominic Solanke, 0.06 expected goalsTottenham, 13': James Maddison, 0.04 expected goals, GOALTottenham, 15': Archie Gray, 0.12 expected goalsTottenham, 38': James Maddison, 0.03 expected goalsTottenham, 38': Dominic Solanke, 0.27 expected goalsTottenham, 51': Micky van de Ven, 0.04 expected goalsTottenham, 51': Sandro Tonali, 0.07 expected goalsTottenham, 53': Omar Marmoush, 0.02 expected goalsTottenham, 54': Sandro Tonali, 0.03 expected goalsTottenham, 57': Omar Marmoush, 0.04 expected goals, GOALTottenham, 61': Mohammed Kudus, 0.02 expected goalsTottenham, 63': Dominic Solanke, 0.18 expected goalsTottenham, 79': Mohammed Kudus, 0.03 expected goalsTottenham, 81': Mateus Fernandes, 0.03 expected goalsTottenham, 91': Mathys Tel, 0.04 expected goalsTottenham, 95': Ben Davies, 0.26 expected goals, GOALTottenham: 1.29Coventry: 0Coventry, 0': Brandon Thomas-Asante, 0.05 expected goalsCoventry, 7': Brandon Thomas-Asante, 0.08 expected goalsCoventry, 9': Tatsuhiro Sakamoto, 0.13 expected goalsCoventry, 35': Sidiki Cherif, 0.02 expected goalsCoventry, 48': Jack Rudoni, 0.05 expected goalsCoventry, 48': Jack Rudoni, 0.24 expected goals, GOALCoventry, 66': Taiwo Awoniyi, 0.07 expected goalsCoventry, 67': Bobby Thomas, 0.08 expected goalsCoventry, 71': Ethan Pinnock, 0.01 expected goalsCoventry, 84': Taiwo Awoniyi, 0.04 expected goalsCoventry, 89': Bobby Thomas, 0.03 expected goalsCoventry, 91': Taiwo Awoniyi, 0.26 expected goalsCoventry: 1.05TottenhamCoventryGOAL James Maddison 13'GOAL Jack Rudoni 48'GOAL Omar Marmoush 57'GOAL Ben Davies 95'

Expected goals added up through the match; the rings are goals.

Expected goals, three ways

Expected goalsTottenhamCoventry
In full1.291.05
Excluding penalties1.291.05
As the rating counts them1.151.04

In full, every chance counts at its value. What the numbers mean says how the rating counts a chance.

Where each side's chances came from

Expected goals fromTottenhamCoventry
Open play1.180.94
of which counter-attacks0.120.31
Set pieces0.110.11
Penalties0.000.00
Headers0.000.48
Inside the box0.861.03
Shots1612
Expected goals a shot0.080.09

Every shot

MinSidePlayerResultxGPlayBodyMetres
0:11CoventryBrandon Thomas-Asante Missed0.05RegularPlayfoot15
7:11CoventryBrandon Thomas-Asante Blocked0.08SetPiecefoot12
9:21CoventryTatsuhiro Sakamoto Blocked0.13RegularPlayfoot12
11:25TottenhamDominic Solanke Blocked0.06RegularPlayfoot17
13:35TottenhamJames Maddison Goal0.04RegularPlayfoot22
15:19TottenhamArchie Gray Blocked0.12FastBreakfoot16
35:27CoventrySidiki Cherif Blocked0.02FastBreakfoot29
38:10TottenhamJames Maddison Blocked0.03RegularPlayfoot21
38:33TottenhamDominic Solanke Missed0.27RegularPlayfoot11
48:57CoventryJack Rudoni Missed0.05FastBreakfoot20
48:59CoventryJack Rudoni Goal0.24FastBreakfoot9
51:51TottenhamMicky van de Ven Missed0.04FromCornerfoot12
51:54TottenhamSandro Tonali Missed0.07FromCornerfoot14
53:45TottenhamOmar Marmoush Saved0.02RegularPlayfoot24
54:46TottenhamSandro Tonali Missed0.03RegularPlayfoot20
57:59TottenhamOmar Marmoush Goal0.04RegularPlayfoot22
61:55TottenhamMohammed Kudus Missed0.02RegularPlayfoot27
63:56TottenhamDominic Solanke Blocked0.18RegularPlayfoot12
66:47CoventryTaiwo Awoniyi Missed0.07RegularPlayhead10
67:43CoventryBobby Thomas Blocked0.08RegularPlayhead9
71:08CoventryEthan Pinnock Missed0.01ThrowinSetPiecehead16
79:56TottenhamMohammed Kudus Missed0.03RegularPlayfoot22
81:02TottenhamMateus Fernandes Saved0.03RegularPlayfoot22
84:18CoventryTaiwo Awoniyi Missed0.04RegularPlayhead11
89:19CoventryBobby Thomas Missed0.03SetPiecehead13
91:00CoventryTaiwo Awoniyi Missed0.26RegularPlayhead6
91:36TottenhamMathys Tel Missed0.04RegularPlayfoot20
95:18TottenhamBen Davies Goal0.26RegularPlayfoot18

Match statistics

TottenhamCoventry
Corners44
Shots1612
Shots on target51
Shots off target77
Total passes560287
Pass accuracy %89.177.4
Fouls committed1514
Total yellow cards13

Counts of the events in the match feed whose definitions the project has checked against a second source.