Arsenal 2–0 Everton

2026-10-24 16:00, Emirates Stadium. Half time 1–0. Ezri Konsa 6', Gabriel Magalhães 67'

2026-10-24 16:00
2.3
expected goals
+1.3 to Arsenal
1.0

Arsenal created more, 2.3 to 1.0 expected goals, and won.

20Shots8
0.95Expected goals from open play0.99
1.36From set pieces0.00
2.30Excluding penalties0.99
1.58As the rating counts them0.60
2.3Points the chances deserved0.5

Rating brought into the match, expected goals a match as the rating counts them: Arsenal creates 1.66 and allows 0.91; Everton creates 1.08 and allows 1.26.

The result the chances deserved

From the two sides' shots taken together: Arsenal win 71 per cent, draw 19, Everton win 10. Arsenal deserved 2.3 points and took 3; Everton deserved 0.5 and took 0.

Each shot scores with its own probability, independently; two shots in one passage of play both count although only one could have scored, so a match with rebounds is slightly overstated.

Where the chances were

Arsenal attack this way →← Everton attack this wayDeclan Rice 3': 0.04 expected goalsEzri Konsa 5': 0.11 expected goalsGabriel Magalhães 6': 0.08 expected goalsEzri Konsa 6': 0.81 expected goals, GOALJames Garner 10': 0.03 expected goalsTyrique George 16': 0.04 expected goalsMartin Ødegaard 19': 0.07 expected goalsMikel Merino 21': 0.27 expected goalsEberechi Eze 23': 0.04 expected goalsNoni Madueke 27': 0.05 expected goalsMikel Merino 28': 0.07 expected goalsNoni Madueke 29': 0.04 expected goalsEberechi Eze 34': 0.03 expected goalsMartin Ødegaard 39': 0.21 expected goalsThierno Barry 43': 0.30 expected goalsMikel Merino 47': 0.04 expected goalsMartin Ødegaard 50': 0.01 expected goalsNoni Madueke 53': 0.03 expected goalsMikel Merino 57': 0.03 expected goalsMikel Merino 65': 0.07 expected goalsGabriel Magalhães 67': 0.27 expected goals, GOALHarrison Armstrong 75': 0.02 expected goalsKiernan Dewsbury-Hall 82': 0.06 expected goalsHayden Hackney 88': 0.02 expected goalsMartin Ødegaard 90': 0.02 expected goalsThierno Barry 94': 0.19 expected goalsMartin Ødegaard 94': 0.02 expected goalsCharly Alcaraz 97': 0.34 expected goals

One mark per shot, larger for a better chance; filled marks are goals. Hover a mark for the player and the chance.

How the match built up

0.000.501.001.502.0001224364860728496MinuteArsenal: 0Arsenal, 3': Declan Rice, 0.04 expected goalsArsenal, 5': Ezri Konsa, 0.11 expected goalsArsenal, 6': Gabriel Magalhães, 0.08 expected goalsArsenal, 6': Ezri Konsa, 0.81 expected goals, GOALArsenal, 19': Martin Ødegaard, 0.07 expected goalsArsenal, 21': Mikel Merino, 0.27 expected goalsArsenal, 23': Eberechi Eze, 0.04 expected goalsArsenal, 27': Noni Madueke, 0.05 expected goalsArsenal, 28': Mikel Merino, 0.07 expected goalsArsenal, 29': Noni Madueke, 0.04 expected goalsArsenal, 34': Eberechi Eze, 0.03 expected goalsArsenal, 39': Martin Ødegaard, 0.21 expected goalsArsenal, 47': Mikel Merino, 0.04 expected goalsArsenal, 50': Martin Ødegaard, 0.01 expected goalsArsenal, 53': Noni Madueke, 0.03 expected goalsArsenal, 57': Mikel Merino, 0.03 expected goalsArsenal, 65': Mikel Merino, 0.07 expected goalsArsenal, 67': Gabriel Magalhães, 0.27 expected goals, GOALArsenal, 90': Martin Ødegaard, 0.02 expected goalsArsenal, 94': Martin Ødegaard, 0.02 expected goalsArsenal: 2.30Everton: 0Everton, 10': James Garner, 0.03 expected goalsEverton, 16': Tyrique George, 0.04 expected goalsEverton, 43': Thierno Barry, 0.30 expected goalsEverton, 75': Harrison Armstrong, 0.02 expected goalsEverton, 82': Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall, 0.06 expected goalsEverton, 88': Hayden Hackney, 0.02 expected goalsEverton, 94': Thierno Barry, 0.19 expected goalsEverton, 97': Charly Alcaraz, 0.34 expected goalsEverton: 0.99ArsenalEvertonGOAL Ezri Konsa 6'GOAL Gabriel Magalhães 67'

Expected goals added up through the match; the rings are goals.

Expected goals, three ways

Expected goalsArsenalEverton
In full2.300.99
Excluding penalties2.300.99
As the rating counts them1.580.60

In full, every chance counts at its value. What the numbers mean says how the rating counts a chance.

Where each side's chances came from

Expected goals fromArsenalEverton
Open play0.950.99
of which counter-attacks0.210.00
Set pieces1.360.00
Penalties0.000.00
Headers0.780.08
Inside the box2.020.94
Shots208
Expected goals a shot0.120.12

Every shot

MinSidePlayerResultxGPlayBodyMetres
3:32ArsenalDeclan Rice Blocked0.04RegularPlayfoot22
5:10ArsenalEzri Konsa Blocked0.11FromCornerhead6
6:15ArsenalGabriel Magalhães Saved0.08FromCornerhead7
6:18ArsenalEzri Konsa Goal0.81FromCornerfoot4
10:49EvertonJames Garner Saved0.03RegularPlayfoot25
16:08EvertonTyrique George Blocked0.04RegularPlayfoot20
19:02ArsenalMartin Ødegaard Blocked0.07RegularPlayfoot18
21:43ArsenalMikel Merino Blocked0.27FromCornerhead4
23:22ArsenalEberechi Eze Missed0.04RegularPlayfoot21
27:08ArsenalNoni Madueke Missed0.05RegularPlayfoot17
28:56ArsenalMikel Merino Blocked0.07RegularPlayfoot15
29:33ArsenalNoni Madueke Missed0.04RegularPlayfoot19
34:41ArsenalEberechi Eze Blocked0.03RegularPlayfoot25
39:08ArsenalMartin Ødegaard Blocked0.21FastBreakfoot14
43:32EvertonThierno Barry Saved0.30RegularPlayfoot14
47:07ArsenalMikel Merino Missed0.04SetPiecehead12
50:08ArsenalMartin Ødegaard Saved0.01FromCornerfoot31
53:11ArsenalNoni Madueke Blocked0.03ThrowinSetPiecefoot18
57:19ArsenalMikel Merino Blocked0.03RegularPlayfoot24
65:57ArsenalMikel Merino Blocked0.07RegularPlayfoot18
67:58ArsenalGabriel Magalhães Goal0.27RegularPlayhead6
75:23EvertonHarrison Armstrong Missed0.02RegularPlayhead13
82:40EvertonKiernan Dewsbury-Hall Missed0.06RegularPlayhead10
88:49EvertonHayden Hackney Saved0.02RegularPlayfoot29
90:10ArsenalMartin Ødegaard Missed0.02RegularPlayfoot29
94:04EvertonThierno Barry Blocked0.19RegularPlayfoot15
94:56ArsenalMartin Ødegaard Missed0.02RegularPlayfoot28
97:38EvertonCharly Alcaraz Missed0.34RegularPlayfoot14

Match statistics

ArsenalEverton
Corners123
Shots208
Shots on target43
Shots off target63
Total passes508368
Pass accuracy %86.685.9
Fouls committed1113
Total yellow cards13

Counts of the events in the match feed whose definitions the project has checked against a second source.