Chelsea 0–2 Tottenham

2026-10-24 17:30, Stamford Bridge. Half time 0–0. Mike Penders 76' (own goal), Mathys Tel 86'

2026-10-24 17:30
Chelsea
0–2
Tottenham
1.2
expected goals
+0.4 to Chelsea
0.7

Tottenham won with 0.7 expected goals to 1.2: the result went against the performance.

7Shots15
1.13Expected goals from open play0.56
0.03From set pieces0.19
1.16Excluding penalties0.75
0.69As the rating counts them0.75
1.7Points the chances deserved1.0

Rating brought into the match, expected goals a match as the rating counts them: Chelsea creates 1.53 and allows 1.24; Tottenham creates 1.24 and allows 1.32.

The result the chances deserved

From the two sides' shots taken together: Chelsea win 47 per cent, draw 31, Tottenham win 22. Chelsea deserved 1.7 points and took 0; Tottenham deserved 1.0 and took 3.

Each shot scores with its own probability, independently; two shots in one passage of play both count although only one could have scored, so a match with rebounds is slightly overstated.

Where the chances were

Chelsea attack this way →← Tottenham attack this wayAndy Robertson 3': 0.02 expected goalsCole Palmer 13': 0.16 expected goalsMohammed Kudus 19': 0.03 expected goalsOmar Marmoush 28': 0.17 expected goalsMohammed Kudus 30': 0.05 expected goalsMorgan Rogers 32': 0.16 expected goalsJordan Henderson 35': 0.08 expected goalsOmar Marmoush 37': 0.06 expected goalsSandro Tonali 37': 0.04 expected goalsOmar Marmoush 41': 0.01 expected goalsPedro Neto 43': 0.03 expected goalsMathys Tel 54': 0.09 expected goalsCole Palmer 61': 0.23 expected goalsPedro Neto 61': 0.30 expected goalsConor Gallagher 65': 0.03 expected goalsEstêvão 73': 0.21 expected goalsMateus Fernandes 75': 0.02 expected goalsPedro Porro 81': 0.06 expected goalsConor Gallagher 84': 0.05 expected goalsSandro Tonali 84': 0.07 expected goalsMathys Tel 86': 0.03 expected goals, GOALDejan Kulusevski 91': 0.04 expected goals

One mark per shot, larger for a better chance; filled marks are goals. Hover a mark for the player and the chance.

How the match built up

0.000.250.500.751.0001122334455667788MinuteChelsea: 0Chelsea, 13': Cole Palmer, 0.16 expected goalsChelsea, 32': Morgan Rogers, 0.16 expected goalsChelsea, 35': Jordan Henderson, 0.08 expected goalsChelsea, 43': Pedro Neto, 0.03 expected goalsChelsea, 61': Cole Palmer, 0.23 expected goalsChelsea, 61': Pedro Neto, 0.30 expected goalsChelsea, 73': Estêvão, 0.21 expected goalsChelsea: 1.16Tottenham: 0Tottenham, 3': Andy Robertson, 0.02 expected goalsTottenham, 19': Mohammed Kudus, 0.03 expected goalsTottenham, 28': Omar Marmoush, 0.17 expected goalsTottenham, 30': Mohammed Kudus, 0.05 expected goalsTottenham, 37': Omar Marmoush, 0.06 expected goalsTottenham, 37': Sandro Tonali, 0.04 expected goalsTottenham, 41': Omar Marmoush, 0.01 expected goalsTottenham, 54': Mathys Tel, 0.09 expected goalsTottenham, 65': Conor Gallagher, 0.03 expected goalsTottenham, 75': Mateus Fernandes, 0.02 expected goalsTottenham, 81': Pedro Porro, 0.06 expected goalsTottenham, 84': Conor Gallagher, 0.05 expected goalsTottenham, 84': Sandro Tonali, 0.07 expected goalsTottenham, 86': Mathys Tel, 0.03 expected goals, GOALTottenham, 91': Dejan Kulusevski, 0.04 expected goalsTottenham: 0.75ChelseaTottenhamGOAL Mathys Tel 86'

Expected goals added up through the match; the rings are goals.

Expected goals, three ways

Expected goalsChelseaTottenham
In full1.160.75
Excluding penalties1.160.75
As the rating counts them0.690.75

In full, every chance counts at its value. What the numbers mean says how the rating counts a chance.

Where each side's chances came from

Expected goals fromChelseaTottenham
Open play1.130.56
of which counter-attacks0.000.00
Set pieces0.030.19
Penalties0.000.00
Headers0.000.10
Inside the box1.080.49
Shots715
Expected goals a shot0.170.05

Every shot

MinSidePlayerResultxGPlayBodyMetres
3:10TottenhamAndy Robertson Blocked0.02DirectFreekickfoot37
13:51ChelseaCole Palmer Saved0.16RegularPlayfoot20
19:31TottenhamMohammed Kudus Missed0.03FromCornerfoot18
28:31TottenhamOmar Marmoush Saved0.17RegularPlayfoot11
30:12TottenhamMohammed Kudus Saved0.05RegularPlayfoot17
32:40ChelseaMorgan Rogers Blocked0.16RegularPlayfoot15
35:12ChelseaJordan Henderson Saved0.08RegularPlayfoot17
37:10TottenhamOmar Marmoush Blocked0.06RegularPlayfoot19
37:11TottenhamSandro Tonali Missed0.04RegularPlayfoot22
41:22TottenhamOmar Marmoush Missed0.01RegularPlayhead15
43:04ChelseaPedro Neto Saved0.03SetPiecefoot20
54:17TottenhamMathys Tel Blocked0.09FromCornerhead7
61:06ChelseaCole Palmer Blocked0.23RegularPlayfoot18
61:08ChelseaPedro Neto Saved0.30RegularPlayfoot15
65:30TottenhamConor Gallagher Blocked0.03RegularPlayfoot29
73:22ChelseaEstêvão Missed0.21RegularPlayfoot14
75:39TottenhamMateus Fernandes Blocked0.02RegularPlayfoot27
81:48TottenhamPedro Porro Blocked0.06DirectFreekickfoot25
84:50TottenhamConor Gallagher Saved0.05RegularPlayfoot16
84:52TottenhamSandro Tonali Missed0.07RegularPlayfoot18
86:27TottenhamMathys Tel Goal0.03RegularPlayfoot26
91:56TottenhamDejan Kulusevski Blocked0.04RegularPlayfoot23

Match statistics

ChelseaTottenham
Corners46
Shots715
Shots on target44
Shots off target14
Total passes287639
Pass accuracy %74.986.7
Fouls committed1414
Total yellow cards33

Counts of the events in the match feed whose definitions the project has checked against a second source.