Coventry 0–1 Fulham

2026-10-24 15:00, Coventry Building Society Arena. Half time 0–0. Oscar Bobb 79'

2026-10-24 15:00
Coventry
0–1
Fulham
0.7
expected goals
+0.1 to Coventry
0.6

Fulham won a match that was close on chances, 0.6 to 0.7 expected goals.

13Shots12
0.41Expected goals from open play0.51
0.27From set pieces0.12
0.69Excluding penalties0.63
0.56As the rating counts them0.63
1.4Points the chances deserved1.2

Rating brought into the match, expected goals a match as the rating counts them: Coventry creates 0.97 and allows 1.45; Fulham creates 1.14 and allows 1.24.

The result the chances deserved

From the two sides' shots taken together: Coventry win 32 per cent, draw 40, Fulham win 28. Coventry deserved 1.4 points and took 0; Fulham deserved 1.2 and took 3.

Each shot scores with its own probability, independently; two shots in one passage of play both count although only one could have scored, so a match with rebounds is slightly overstated.

Where the chances were

Coventry attack this way →← Fulham attack this wayBrandon Thomas-Asante 1': 0.01 expected goalsBobby Thomas 2': 0.03 expected goalsEthan Pinnock 2': 0.03 expected goalsGonzalo García 12': 0.07 expected goalsTatsuhiro Sakamoto 12': 0.05 expected goalsShea Charles 13': 0.04 expected goalsJosh King 17': 0.05 expected goalsAlex Iwobi 17': 0.10 expected goalsBobby Thomas 19': 0.03 expected goalsBrandon Thomas-Asante 20': 0.11 expected goalsGonzalo García 22': 0.09 expected goalsJosh King 24': 0.06 expected goalsBrandon Thomas-Asante 28': 0.18 expected goalsSidiki Cherif 45': 0.06 expected goalsJack Rudoni 51': 0.05 expected goalsJosh King 55': 0.04 expected goalsCalvin Bassey 57': 0.03 expected goalsStephen Mfuni 61': 0.05 expected goalsTimothy Castagne 66': 0.05 expected goalsStephen Mfuni 70': 0.04 expected goalsJosh King 75': 0.03 expected goalsOscar Bobb 79': 0.06 expected goals, GOALMatt Grimes 84': 0.03 expected goalsMilan van Ewijk 84': 0.02 expected goalsRodrigo Muniz 94': 0.00 expected goals

One mark per shot, larger for a better chance; filled marks are goals. Hover a mark for the player and the chance.

How the match built up

0.000.200.400.6001122334455667788MinuteCoventry: 0Coventry, 1': Brandon Thomas-Asante, 0.01 expected goalsCoventry, 2': Bobby Thomas, 0.03 expected goalsCoventry, 2': Ethan Pinnock, 0.03 expected goalsCoventry, 12': Tatsuhiro Sakamoto, 0.05 expected goalsCoventry, 19': Bobby Thomas, 0.03 expected goalsCoventry, 20': Brandon Thomas-Asante, 0.11 expected goalsCoventry, 28': Brandon Thomas-Asante, 0.18 expected goalsCoventry, 45': Sidiki Cherif, 0.06 expected goalsCoventry, 51': Jack Rudoni, 0.05 expected goalsCoventry, 61': Stephen Mfuni, 0.05 expected goalsCoventry, 70': Stephen Mfuni, 0.04 expected goalsCoventry, 84': Matt Grimes, 0.03 expected goalsCoventry, 84': Milan van Ewijk, 0.02 expected goalsCoventry: 0.69Fulham: 0Fulham, 12': Gonzalo García, 0.07 expected goalsFulham, 13': Shea Charles, 0.04 expected goalsFulham, 17': Josh King, 0.05 expected goalsFulham, 17': Alex Iwobi, 0.10 expected goalsFulham, 22': Gonzalo García, 0.09 expected goalsFulham, 24': Josh King, 0.06 expected goalsFulham, 55': Josh King, 0.04 expected goalsFulham, 57': Calvin Bassey, 0.03 expected goalsFulham, 66': Timothy Castagne, 0.05 expected goalsFulham, 75': Josh King, 0.03 expected goalsFulham, 79': Oscar Bobb, 0.06 expected goals, GOALFulham, 94': Rodrigo Muniz, 0.00 expected goalsFulham: 0.63CoventryFulhamGOAL Oscar Bobb 79'

Expected goals added up through the match; the rings are goals.

Expected goals, three ways

Expected goalsCoventryFulham
In full0.690.63
Excluding penalties0.690.63
As the rating counts them0.560.63

In full, every chance counts at its value. What the numbers mean says how the rating counts a chance.

Where each side's chances came from

Expected goals fromCoventryFulham
Open play0.410.51
of which counter-attacks0.000.00
Set pieces0.270.12
Penalties0.000.00
Headers0.280.05
Inside the box0.510.53
Shots1312
Expected goals a shot0.050.05

Every shot

MinSidePlayerResultxGPlayBodyMetres
1:35CoventryBrandon Thomas-Asante Blocked0.01RegularPlayfoot27
2:13CoventryBobby Thomas Missed0.03FromCornerhead11
2:23CoventryEthan Pinnock Missed0.03FromCornerhead12
12:07FulhamGonzalo García Blocked0.07RegularPlayfoot14
12:55CoventryTatsuhiro Sakamoto Missed0.05RegularPlayhead10
13:30FulhamShea Charles Saved0.04RegularPlayfoot20
17:15FulhamJosh King Post0.05RegularPlayfoot17
17:16FulhamAlex Iwobi Missed0.10RegularPlayfoot13
19:04CoventryBobby Thomas Missed0.03SetPiecehead13
20:31CoventryBrandon Thomas-Asante Missed0.11RegularPlayhead9
22:10FulhamGonzalo García Blocked0.09RegularPlayfoot15
24:46FulhamJosh King Blocked0.06RegularPlayfoot15
28:40CoventryBrandon Thomas-Asante Saved0.18RegularPlayfoot18
45:50CoventrySidiki Cherif Missed0.06RegularPlayfoot27
51:12CoventryJack Rudoni Blocked0.05DirectFreekickfoot26
55:37FulhamJosh King Missed0.04RegularPlayfoot22
57:07FulhamCalvin Bassey Blocked0.03RegularPlayfoot25
61:27CoventryStephen Mfuni Missed0.05FromCornerfoot14
66:09FulhamTimothy Castagne Missed0.05FromCornerhead10
70:57CoventryStephen Mfuni Saved0.04FromCornerhead8
75:25FulhamJosh King Saved0.03RegularPlayfoot24
79:03FulhamOscar Bobb Goal0.06FromCornerfoot15
84:46CoventryMatt Grimes Blocked0.03SetPiecefoot20
84:51CoventryMilan van Ewijk Missed0.02SetPiecefoot28
94:18FulhamRodrigo Muniz Missed0.00FastBreakfoot61

Match statistics

CoventryFulham
Corners46
Shots1312
Shots on target23
Shots off target85
Total passes352646
Pass accuracy %79.390.2
Fouls committed911
Total yellow cards02

Counts of the events in the match feed whose definitions the project has checked against a second source.