Liverpool 2–0 Brighton

2026-10-25 14:00, Anfield. Half time 2–0. Pascal Groß 16' (own goal), Alexander Isak 20'

2026-10-25 14:00
Liverpool
2–0
Brighton
1.6
expected goals
-0.1 to Liverpool
1.6

Liverpool won a match that was close on chances, 1.6 to 1.6 expected goals.

13Shots17
1.51Expected goals from open play1.46
0.05From set pieces0.18
1.56Excluding penalties1.64
0.84As the rating counts them1.43
1.3Points the chances deserved1.4

Rating brought into the match, expected goals a match as the rating counts them: Liverpool creates 1.59 and allows 1.17; Brighton creates 1.41 and allows 1.16.

The result the chances deserved

From the two sides' shots taken together: Liverpool win 35 per cent, draw 27, Brighton win 38. Liverpool deserved 1.3 points and took 3; Brighton deserved 1.4 and took 0.

Each shot scores with its own probability, independently; two shots in one passage of play both count although only one could have scored, so a match with rebounds is slightly overstated.

Where the chances were

Liverpool attack this way →← Brighton attack this wayCody Gakpo 7': 0.04 expected goalsYasin Ayari 13': 0.17 expected goalsFlorian Wirtz 16': 0.04 expected goalsCody Gakpo 18': 0.13 expected goalsAlexander Isak 18': 0.05 expected goalsAlexander Isak 20': 0.68 expected goals, GOALAlexander Isak 26': 0.06 expected goalsCharalampos Kostoulas 27': 0.26 expected goalsAlexis Mac Allister 32': 0.01 expected goalsYasin Ayari 35': 0.11 expected goalsChema Andrés 36': 0.03 expected goalsCody Gakpo 40': 0.21 expected goalsRonald Araujo 42': 0.03 expected goalsOlivier Boscagli 45': 0.05 expected goalsCharalampos Kostoulas 45': 0.03 expected goalsDiego Gómez 46': 0.08 expected goalsCharalampos Kostoulas 46': 0.39 expected goalsLuka Vuskovic 47': 0.07 expected goalsCody Gakpo 56': 0.04 expected goalsLuka Vuskovic 60': 0.07 expected goalsCostinha 61': 0.08 expected goalsYasin Ayari 65': 0.03 expected goalsCody Gakpo 66': 0.22 expected goalsBradley Barcola 72': 0.04 expected goalsCharalampos Kostoulas 82': 0.16 expected goalsCody Gakpo 84': 0.02 expected goalsMaxim De Cuyper 86': 0.03 expected goalsDiego Gómez 89': 0.04 expected goalsGeorginio Rutter 91': 0.03 expected goalsMaxim De Cuyper 94': 0.01 expected goals

One mark per shot, larger for a better chance; filled marks are goals. Hover a mark for the player and the chance.

How the match built up

0.000.501.001.5001122334455667788MinuteLiverpool: 0Liverpool, 7': Cody Gakpo, 0.04 expected goalsLiverpool, 16': Florian Wirtz, 0.04 expected goalsLiverpool, 18': Cody Gakpo, 0.13 expected goalsLiverpool, 18': Alexander Isak, 0.05 expected goalsLiverpool, 20': Alexander Isak, 0.68 expected goals, GOALLiverpool, 26': Alexander Isak, 0.06 expected goalsLiverpool, 32': Alexis Mac Allister, 0.01 expected goalsLiverpool, 40': Cody Gakpo, 0.21 expected goalsLiverpool, 42': Ronald Araujo, 0.03 expected goalsLiverpool, 56': Cody Gakpo, 0.04 expected goalsLiverpool, 66': Cody Gakpo, 0.22 expected goalsLiverpool, 72': Bradley Barcola, 0.04 expected goalsLiverpool, 84': Cody Gakpo, 0.02 expected goalsLiverpool: 1.56Brighton: 0Brighton, 13': Yasin Ayari, 0.17 expected goalsBrighton, 27': Charalampos Kostoulas, 0.26 expected goalsBrighton, 35': Yasin Ayari, 0.11 expected goalsBrighton, 36': Chema Andrés, 0.03 expected goalsBrighton, 45': Olivier Boscagli, 0.05 expected goalsBrighton, 45': Charalampos Kostoulas, 0.03 expected goalsBrighton, 46': Diego Gómez, 0.08 expected goalsBrighton, 46': Charalampos Kostoulas, 0.39 expected goalsBrighton, 47': Luka Vuskovic, 0.07 expected goalsBrighton, 60': Luka Vuskovic, 0.07 expected goalsBrighton, 61': Costinha, 0.08 expected goalsBrighton, 65': Yasin Ayari, 0.03 expected goalsBrighton, 82': Charalampos Kostoulas, 0.16 expected goalsBrighton, 86': Maxim De Cuyper, 0.03 expected goalsBrighton, 89': Diego Gómez, 0.04 expected goalsBrighton, 91': Georginio Rutter, 0.03 expected goalsBrighton, 94': Maxim De Cuyper, 0.01 expected goalsBrighton: 1.64LiverpoolBrightonGOAL Alexander Isak 20'

Expected goals added up through the match; the rings are goals.

Expected goals, three ways

Expected goalsLiverpoolBrighton
In full1.561.64
Excluding penalties1.561.64
As the rating counts them0.841.43

In full, every chance counts at its value. What the numbers mean says how the rating counts a chance.

Where each side's chances came from

Expected goals fromLiverpoolBrighton
Open play1.511.46
of which counter-attacks0.270.00
Set pieces0.050.18
Penalties0.000.00
Headers0.050.10
Inside the box1.291.30
Shots1317
Expected goals a shot0.120.10

Every shot

MinSidePlayerResultxGPlayBodyMetres
7:56LiverpoolCody Gakpo Saved0.04RegularPlayfoot21
13:40BrightonYasin Ayari Missed0.17RegularPlayfoot12
16:14LiverpoolFlorian Wirtz Missed0.04RegularPlayfoot19
18:05LiverpoolCody Gakpo Saved0.13RegularPlayfoot19
18:18LiverpoolAlexander Isak Missed0.05RegularPlayfoot17
20:47LiverpoolAlexander Isak Goal0.68RegularPlayfoot6
26:11LiverpoolAlexander Isak Blocked0.06FastBreakfoot20
27:24BrightonCharalampos Kostoulas Blocked0.26RegularPlayfoot8
32:21LiverpoolAlexis Mac Allister Missed0.01FromCornerhead13
35:32BrightonYasin Ayari Post0.11RegularPlayfoot26
36:45BrightonChema Andrés Missed0.03RegularPlayhead13
40:49LiverpoolCody Gakpo Missed0.21RegularPlayfoot19
42:08LiverpoolRonald Araujo Saved0.03RegularPlayfoot20
45:01BrightonOlivier Boscagli Missed0.05RegularPlayfoot19
45:59BrightonCharalampos Kostoulas Saved0.03RegularPlayfoot22
46:36BrightonDiego Gómez Missed0.08RegularPlayfoot15
46:37BrightonCharalampos Kostoulas Blocked0.39RegularPlayfoot7
47:11BrightonLuka Vuskovic Missed0.07FromCornerhead8
56:01LiverpoolCody Gakpo Blocked0.04FromCornerhead9
60:26BrightonLuka Vuskovic Missed0.07DirectFreekickfoot23
61:34BrightonCostinha Blocked0.08RegularPlayfoot17
65:25BrightonYasin Ayari Missed0.03RegularPlayfoot24
66:37LiverpoolCody Gakpo Blocked0.22FastBreakfoot13
72:51LiverpoolBradley Barcola Missed0.04RegularPlayfoot21
82:06BrightonCharalampos Kostoulas Missed0.16RegularPlayfoot9
84:28LiverpoolCody Gakpo Missed0.02RegularPlayfoot28
86:38BrightonMaxim De Cuyper Missed0.03DirectFreekickfoot32
89:39BrightonDiego Gómez Blocked0.04RegularPlayfoot21
91:33BrightonGeorginio Rutter Blocked0.03RegularPlayfoot20
94:41BrightonMaxim De Cuyper Blocked0.01SetPiecefoot29

Match statistics

LiverpoolBrighton
Corners42
Shots1317
Shots on target41
Shots off target610
Total passes324576
Pass accuracy %69.184.4
Fouls committed139
Total yellow cards02

Counts of the events in the match feed whose definitions the project has checked against a second source.