Man Utd 0–3 Bournemouth

2026-10-25 15:00, Old Trafford. Half time 0–2. Rayan 37', Marcus Tavernier 42', Evanilson 70'

2026-10-25 15:00
Man Utd
0–3
Bournemouth
1.4
expected goals
-0.2 to Man Utd
1.6

Bournemouth won a match that was close on chances, 1.6 to 1.4 expected goals.

17Shots10
0.74Expected goals from open play1.32
0.63From set pieces0.28
1.37Excluding penalties1.60
1.28As the rating counts them0.94
1.2Points the chances deserved1.6

Rating brought into the match, expected goals a match as the rating counts them: Man Utd creates 1.49 and allows 1.22; Bournemouth creates 1.31 and allows 1.27.

The result the chances deserved

From the two sides' shots taken together: Man Utd win 30 per cent, draw 27, Bournemouth win 43. Man Utd deserved 1.2 points and took 0; Bournemouth deserved 1.6 and took 3.

Each shot scores with its own probability, independently; two shots in one passage of play both count although only one could have scored, so a match with rebounds is slightly overstated.

Where the chances were

Man Utd attack this way →← Bournemouth attack this wayEvanilson 3': 0.01 expected goalsRayan 3': 0.22 expected goalsRayan 5': 0.08 expected goalsDiogo Dalot 17': 0.02 expected goalsEvanilson 28': 0.15 expected goalsRayan 37': 0.05 expected goals, GOALBryan Mbeumo 39': 0.13 expected goalsMarcus Tavernier 42': 0.71 expected goals, GOALCarlos Baleba 46': 0.03 expected goalsRayan 49': 0.08 expected goalsEvanilson 53': 0.05 expected goalsMatheus Cunha 56': 0.03 expected goalsBryan Mbeumo 59': 0.16 expected goalsRayan 65': 0.11 expected goalsLisandro Martínez 67': 0.02 expected goalsEvanilson 70': 0.14 expected goals, GOALMatheus Cunha 72': 0.35 expected goalsMason Mount 72': 0.03 expected goalsAmad Diallo 76': 0.04 expected goalsAndrey Santos 84': 0.15 expected goalsLeny Yoro 84': 0.13 expected goalsShea Lacey 84': 0.02 expected goalsLeny Yoro 84': 0.11 expected goalsJoshua Zirkzee 88': 0.08 expected goalsShea Lacey 92': 0.03 expected goalsMason Mount 92': 0.02 expected goalsMason Mount 94': 0.03 expected goals

One mark per shot, larger for a better chance; filled marks are goals. Hover a mark for the player and the chance.

How the match built up

0.000.501.001.5001122334455667788MinuteMan Utd: 0Man Utd, 17': Diogo Dalot, 0.02 expected goalsMan Utd, 39': Bryan Mbeumo, 0.13 expected goalsMan Utd, 46': Carlos Baleba, 0.03 expected goalsMan Utd, 56': Matheus Cunha, 0.03 expected goalsMan Utd, 59': Bryan Mbeumo, 0.16 expected goalsMan Utd, 67': Lisandro Martínez, 0.02 expected goalsMan Utd, 72': Matheus Cunha, 0.35 expected goalsMan Utd, 72': Mason Mount, 0.03 expected goalsMan Utd, 76': Amad Diallo, 0.04 expected goalsMan Utd, 84': Andrey Santos, 0.15 expected goalsMan Utd, 84': Leny Yoro, 0.13 expected goalsMan Utd, 84': Shea Lacey, 0.02 expected goalsMan Utd, 84': Leny Yoro, 0.11 expected goalsMan Utd, 88': Joshua Zirkzee, 0.08 expected goalsMan Utd, 92': Shea Lacey, 0.03 expected goalsMan Utd, 92': Mason Mount, 0.02 expected goalsMan Utd, 94': Mason Mount, 0.03 expected goalsMan Utd: 1.37Bournemouth: 0Bournemouth, 3': Evanilson, 0.01 expected goalsBournemouth, 3': Rayan, 0.22 expected goalsBournemouth, 5': Rayan, 0.08 expected goalsBournemouth, 28': Evanilson, 0.15 expected goalsBournemouth, 37': Rayan, 0.05 expected goals, GOALBournemouth, 42': Marcus Tavernier, 0.71 expected goals, GOALBournemouth, 49': Rayan, 0.08 expected goalsBournemouth, 53': Evanilson, 0.05 expected goalsBournemouth, 65': Rayan, 0.11 expected goalsBournemouth, 70': Evanilson, 0.14 expected goals, GOALBournemouth: 1.60Man UtdBournemouthGOAL Rayan 37'GOAL Marcus Tavernier 42'GOAL Evanilson 70'

Expected goals added up through the match; the rings are goals.

Expected goals, three ways

Expected goalsMan UtdBournemouth
In full1.371.60
Excluding penalties1.371.60
As the rating counts them1.280.94

In full, every chance counts at its value. What the numbers mean says how the rating counts a chance.

Where each side's chances came from

Expected goals fromMan UtdBournemouth
Open play0.741.32
of which counter-attacks0.130.08
Set pieces0.630.28
Penalties0.000.00
Headers0.620.38
Inside the box1.081.46
Shots1710
Expected goals a shot0.080.16

Every shot

MinSidePlayerResultxGPlayBodyMetres
3:00BournemouthEvanilson Missed0.01ThrowinSetPiecehead14
3:49BournemouthRayan Missed0.22FromCornerhead5
5:22BournemouthRayan Blocked0.08FastBreakfoot19
17:49Man UtdDiogo Dalot Missed0.02RegularPlayfoot23
28:14BournemouthEvanilson Missed0.15RegularPlayhead8
37:40BournemouthRayan Goal0.05SetPiecefoot12
39:58Man UtdBryan Mbeumo Saved0.13FastBreakfoot15
42:04BournemouthMarcus Tavernier Goal0.71RegularPlayfoot7
46:59Man UtdCarlos Baleba Missed0.03RegularPlayfoot23
49:05BournemouthRayan Saved0.08RegularPlayfoot15
53:51BournemouthEvanilson Missed0.05RegularPlayfoot17
56:59Man UtdMatheus Cunha Missed0.03RegularPlayfoot22
59:53Man UtdBryan Mbeumo Missed0.16RegularPlayfoot16
65:39BournemouthRayan Missed0.11RegularPlayfoot14
67:23Man UtdLisandro Martínez Saved0.02RegularPlayfoot28
70:21BournemouthEvanilson Goal0.14RegularPlayfoot25
72:55Man UtdMatheus Cunha Saved0.35FromCornerhead4
72:57Man UtdMason Mount Missed0.03FromCornerfoot18
76:40Man UtdAmad Diallo Blocked0.04RegularPlayfoot23
84:08Man UtdAndrey Santos Saved0.15RegularPlayhead6
84:32Man UtdLeny Yoro Missed0.13FromCornerhead6
84:40Man UtdShea Lacey Blocked0.02FromCornerfoot25
84:50Man UtdLeny Yoro Blocked0.11FromCornerfoot13
88:46Man UtdJoshua Zirkzee Blocked0.08RegularPlayfoot17
92:05Man UtdShea Lacey Blocked0.03RegularPlayfoot23
92:33Man UtdMason Mount Missed0.02RegularPlayfoot29
94:09Man UtdMason Mount Saved0.03RegularPlayfoot24

Match statistics

Man UtdBournemouth
Corners54
Shots1710
Shots on target54
Shots off target75
Total passes619367
Pass accuracy %82.971.9
Fouls committed1317
Total yellow cards41

Counts of the events in the match feed whose definitions the project has checked against a second source.