Hull 2–2 Ipswich

2026-10-31 15:00, MKM Stadium. Half time 0–1. Tim Iroegbunam 57', Oliver McBurnie 67'; Florentino 21', Julio Enciso 73'

2026-10-31 15:00
Hull
2–2
Ipswich
0.6
expected goals
-0.8 to Hull
1.4

Ipswich created more, 1.4 to 0.6 expected goals, and drew.

9Shots15
0.25Expected goals from open play1.30
0.32From set pieces0.08
0.57Excluding penalties1.38
0.57As the rating counts them1.00
0.7Points the chances deserved2.0

Rating brought into the match, expected goals a match as the rating counts them: Hull creates 0.66 and allows 1.29; Ipswich creates 0.84 and allows 1.14.

The result the chances deserved

From the two sides' shots taken together: Hull win 14 per cent, draw 27, Ipswich win 59. Hull deserved 0.7 points and took 1; Ipswich deserved 2.0 and took 1.

Each shot scores with its own probability, independently; two shots in one passage of play both count although only one could have scored, so a match with rebounds is slightly overstated.

Where the chances were

Hull attack this way →← Ipswich attack this wayJulio Enciso 8': 0.02 expected goalsAbdul Fatawu 11': 0.03 expected goalsEmersonn 20': 0.05 expected goalsFlorentino 21': 0.29 expected goals, GOALAbdul Fatawu 34': 0.35 expected goalsJohn Egan 36': 0.14 expected goalsTim Iroegbunam 38': 0.02 expected goalsEmersonn 54': 0.18 expected goalsOliver McBurnie 56': 0.02 expected goalsJaden Philogene 57': 0.03 expected goalsTim Iroegbunam 57': 0.09 expected goals, GOALJulio Enciso 60': 0.03 expected goalsLewie Coyle 64': 0.02 expected goalsOliver McBurnie 67': 0.12 expected goals, GOALJulio Enciso 70': 0.04 expected goalsDaizen Maeda 73': 0.04 expected goalsJulio Enciso 73': 0.04 expected goals, GOALBrooke Norton-Cuffy 78': 0.06 expected goalsRegan Slater 79': 0.02 expected goalsMohamed Belloumi 83': 0.08 expected goalsJack Clarke 86': 0.11 expected goalsJulio Enciso 86': 0.09 expected goalsDaizen Maeda 89': 0.05 expected goalsAbdoul Ouattara 93': 0.03 expected goals

One mark per shot, larger for a better chance; filled marks are goals. Hover a mark for the player and the chance.

How the match built up

0.000.501.0001122334455667788MinuteHull: 0Hull, 36': John Egan, 0.14 expected goalsHull, 38': Tim Iroegbunam, 0.02 expected goalsHull, 56': Oliver McBurnie, 0.02 expected goalsHull, 57': Tim Iroegbunam, 0.09 expected goals, GOALHull, 64': Lewie Coyle, 0.02 expected goalsHull, 67': Oliver McBurnie, 0.12 expected goals, GOALHull, 78': Brooke Norton-Cuffy, 0.06 expected goalsHull, 79': Regan Slater, 0.02 expected goalsHull, 83': Mohamed Belloumi, 0.08 expected goalsHull: 0.57Ipswich: 0Ipswich, 8': Julio Enciso, 0.02 expected goalsIpswich, 11': Abdul Fatawu, 0.03 expected goalsIpswich, 20': Emersonn, 0.05 expected goalsIpswich, 21': Florentino, 0.29 expected goals, GOALIpswich, 34': Abdul Fatawu, 0.35 expected goalsIpswich, 54': Emersonn, 0.18 expected goalsIpswich, 57': Jaden Philogene, 0.03 expected goalsIpswich, 60': Julio Enciso, 0.03 expected goalsIpswich, 70': Julio Enciso, 0.04 expected goalsIpswich, 73': Daizen Maeda, 0.04 expected goalsIpswich, 73': Julio Enciso, 0.04 expected goals, GOALIpswich, 86': Jack Clarke, 0.11 expected goalsIpswich, 86': Julio Enciso, 0.09 expected goalsIpswich, 89': Daizen Maeda, 0.05 expected goalsIpswich, 93': Abdoul Ouattara, 0.03 expected goalsIpswich: 1.38HullIpswichGOAL Florentino 21'GOAL Tim Iroegbunam 57'GOAL Oliver McBurnie 67'GOAL Julio Enciso 73'

Expected goals added up through the match; the rings are goals.

Expected goals, three ways

Expected goalsHullIpswich
In full0.571.38
Excluding penalties0.571.38
As the rating counts them0.571.00

In full, every chance counts at its value. What the numbers mean says how the rating counts a chance.

Where each side's chances came from

Expected goals fromHullIpswich
Open play0.251.30
of which counter-attacks0.080.00
Set pieces0.320.08
Penalties0.000.00
Headers0.180.49
Inside the box0.331.23
Shots915
Expected goals a shot0.060.09

Every shot

MinSidePlayerResultxGPlayBodyMetres
8:55IpswichJulio Enciso Saved0.02RegularPlayfoot37
11:20IpswichAbdul Fatawu Blocked0.03RegularPlayfoot24
20:21IpswichEmersonn Blocked0.05FromCornerhead8
21:25IpswichFlorentino Goal0.29RegularPlayfoot13
34:36IpswichAbdul Fatawu Missed0.35RegularPlayhead5
36:46HullJohn Egan Missed0.14FromCornerhead6
38:28HullTim Iroegbunam Missed0.02ThrowinSetPiecefoot23
54:29IpswichEmersonn Missed0.18RegularPlayfoot14
56:00HullOliver McBurnie Missed0.02FromCornerhead14
57:03IpswichJaden Philogene Blocked0.03RegularPlayfoot27
57:50HullTim Iroegbunam Goal0.09RegularPlayfoot15
60:58IpswichJulio Enciso Blocked0.03DirectFreekickfoot28
64:18HullLewie Coyle Missed0.02RegularPlayfoot22
67:42HullOliver McBurnie Goal0.12DirectFreekickfoot18
70:02IpswichJulio Enciso Missed0.04RegularPlayhead12
73:09IpswichDaizen Maeda Blocked0.04RegularPlayfoot22
73:31IpswichJulio Enciso Goal0.04RegularPlayfoot19
78:21HullBrooke Norton-Cuffy Saved0.06RegularPlayfoot19
79:20HullRegan Slater Missed0.02ThrowinSetPiecehead15
83:14HullMohamed Belloumi Blocked0.08FastBreakfoot21
86:37IpswichJack Clarke Blocked0.11RegularPlayfoot17
86:38IpswichJulio Enciso Missed0.09RegularPlayfoot16
89:15IpswichDaizen Maeda Missed0.05RegularPlayhead10
93:36IpswichAbdoul Ouattara Missed0.03RegularPlayfoot20

Match statistics

HullIpswich
Corners63
Shots915
Shots on target33
Shots off target56
Total passes335560
Pass accuracy %73.187.3
Fouls committed1312
Total yellow cards33

Counts of the events in the match feed whose definitions the project has checked against a second source.